Strategy
Deutsche Cuts Business Risks; Wealth Arm Seen Gaining Ground
The bank is cutting as many as 18,000 jobs, reports said, as it reduces exposures on its investment banking side, and shuts equities sales and trading.
(An earlier version of this news story appeared on Family Wealth Report yesterday, sister news service to this one. This item is updated for share price and analysts' reaction.)
Deutsche Bank
stressed its commitment to wealth management, an area expected to
come into sharper focus after Germany’s biggest lender announced
that it will get out of equities sales and trading and shrink
corporate and investment banking assets. As many as 18,000 jobs
are reportedly being shed.
Christian Sewing, chief executive, said it is accelerating
changes to boost profitability. The bank recently abandoned
attempts to merge with Commerzbank, Germany’s
second largest bank. The bank will cut costs, reducing
adjusted costs to €17 billion ($19.1 billion) in 2022 and target
a cost/income ratio of 70 per cent in that year. Deutsche Bank
said it expects to report a second-quarter pre-tax loss when it
announces results on 24 July.
Investors appeared to be unimpressed. Shares in Deutsche Bank were down by 4.3 per cent at around 15:30 local London time yesterday, at €6.85 per share. Broader market indices also fell yesterday.
"Deutsche Bank’s grand restructuring plan comes with significant execution risk. Even assuming everything turns out as planned, the fact remains that most of the big European banking groups are years ahead in their redesigns. Competitive success for Deutsche Bank is not a given. Scope downgraded Deutsche Bank on 28 May, saying `the road to successful business-model recalibration and a return to sustainable profitability is still steep and fraught with uncertainties”. Sunday’s announcements don’t change that'," Scope Ratings said of the bank's changes.
Three senior figures - Sylvie Matherat, Garth Ritchie and Frank
Strauss – are leaving the bank. Ritchie led the corporate and
investment bank; Matherat was chief regulatory officer, and
Strauss was head of the private and commercial bank.
Germany’s largest bank – with a footprint in the US, Asia and
other parts of the world – has been struggling with heavy costs
and lowering profits. It is seen in some ways as a bellweather
for the German economy and eurozone.
As far as this publication knows, wealth management jobs are not directly affected – in fact the bank last week announced it plans to hire hundreds of client-facing staff in the next two years. Such moves fit with a pattern of banks cutting balance sheet exposures and focusing on less capital-intensive areas instead. For example, since 2008 Switzerland’s UBS and Credit Suisse have focused more on wealth management.
In a call with journalists, Sewing said: “We will further
strengthen our wealth management franchise by building on its
strong German and European businesses. Particular areas of growth
and investment will be the Americas and our emerging markets
region, which includes Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. And we
will go “all in” on digital.”
Even so, with some large banking groups stressing how they
provide wealthy clients with access to its balance sheet and
range of investment know-how, questions arise over whether big
cuts to the IB side of a business could affect wealth management
in certain ways. This publication understands that in Deutsche’s
case the impact should be limited not just because the parts of
the investment bank that cater for wealthy clients will be
relatively less affected by the cuts, but also because wealth
management has in-house advisory capabilities and an
open-architecture platform.
One report (Guardian, 8 July), said 18,000 jobs will be
cut. This publication has sought to confirm those figures and add
details and may update in due course.
Changes
“Deutsche Bank will exit its Equities Sales & Trading business,
while retaining a focused equity capital markets operation. In
addition, the bank plans to resize its fixed income operations,
in particular its rates business and will accelerate the
wind-down of its existing non-strategic portfolio. In aggregate,
Deutsche Bank will reduce risk-weighted assets currently
allocated to these businesses by approximately 40 per cent,” the
bank said in its statement on Sunday.
Deutsche Bank said it will create a new “Capital Release Unit” to
manage the “efficient wind-down” of the assets related to
business activities, which are being exited or reduced. These
assets and businesses represented €74 billion of risk-weighted
assets and €288 billion of leverage exposure, as of 31 December
2018.
The firm said its cuts will allow it to invest in corporate
banking, foreign exchange, financing, origination and advisory,
private banking and asset management.
To restructure, the bank said that it expects to take about €3
billion of aggregate charges in the second quarter of 2019, of
which approximately €200 million would affect Common Equity Tier
1 capital.
These charges include a deferred tax asset write-down of around
€2 billion and impairments of approximately €900 million. It
predicts it will sustain further restructuring charges in the
second half of 2019 and subsequent years. In all, it expects
cumulative charges of €7.4 billion by the end of 2022.
Results
Including the charges related to the restructuring, Deutsche Bank
expects to report a second quarter 2019 loss before income taxes
of about €500 million and a net loss of €2.8 billion. Excluding
these charges, Deutsche Bank expects to report second quarter
2019 income before income taxes of approximately €400 million and
net profit of €120 million. Results reflect revenues of €6.2
billion with non-interest expenses of €5.6 billion and adjusted
costs of €5.35 billion.
The bank intends to release second quarter results on 24 July
2019.
Source: Deutsche Bank.
Speeding up
Sewing said in his statement that he regretted the job cuts but
argued that the bank had no choice in acting decisively.
“What we have announced today is nothing less than a fundamental
rebuilding of Deutsche Bank through which we are ushering in a
new era for our bank. This is a rebuilding which, in a way, also
takes us back to our roots. We are creating a bank that will be
more profitable, leaner, more innovative and more resilient. It
is about once again putting the needs of our clients at the
centre of what we do – and finally delivering returns for our
shareholders again,” Sewing said.
“Going forward, our investment bank will be smaller – but all the
more stable and competitive. The strict separation between
private and corporate clients also means we will have a much more
focused private client business,” he said.
Sewing said the bank wants to achieve a post-tax return on
tangible equity of 8 per cent by 2022; he said the bank was “not
far away” from that goal and was already on track to reaching it
in its private banking arm.
Leadership structure
Deutsche Bank said its management board will only represent the
bank’s central functions and regions. This includes Christiana
Riley, who will be responsible for its business in the Americas,
and Stefan Simon, who will be responsible for legal and
regulatory affairs.
The corporate bank will be led by Stefan Hoops, who will report
to Sewing; Mark Fedorcik will be head of the investment Bank. Ram
Nayak will head the fixed income and currencies business. Both
will also report to Sewing. The private bank in Germany will be
led by Manfred Knof, former CEO of Allianz Germany. Ashok Aram
will lead the international retail business (including
international commercial clients) and Fabrizio Campelli will lead
the wealth management Business. All three will report to Sewing’s
deputy, Karl von Rohr.
Asoka Wöhrmann will continue to lead Deutsche’s asset management
business DWS and will also report to Karl von Rohr. The
newly-formed Capital Release Unit will be led by Louise Kitchen
and Ashley Wilson, both of whom will report to Frank Kuhnke.