Alt Investments
EXCLUSIVE: Hedge Funds: Time To Exit Or Are They Still Worth The Effort?

Recent market turmoil - as in China - casts fresh light on an argument that has been around for some time: are hedge funds worthwhile?
The violent intra-day market volatility seen in the past two
weeks has caused widespread panic and has undoubtedly seen many
investors making irrational and emotionally-driven decisions.
These decisions often don’t achieve the best-possible results and
destroy investors’ wealth. It is in times like these when hedge
funds can prove their worth by protecting investors against the
full extent of the losses experienced by their long-only
counterparts. The relative flexibility of hedge fund strategies,
this article argues, also allows them to capitalise on the
opportunities brought about by these extreme market
movements.
Paul Wiseman, who is a London-based senior investment analyst
with Maitland, the
South Africa-based law firm and funds administrator, explains why
hedge funds still have a place in investment portfolios – and
even more so in the light of recent events. This article is being
published in different regions because of the global significance
of the issues at stake. And the main issue might be reframed
thus: for their fees and complexities, are hedge funds worth the
trouble, or do they still form an important potential part of the
wealth management toolkit?
Recent years have seen meagre returns relative to equities for
the average global hedge fund, while most cheap and cheerful
index trackers have produced solid gains. As a result, for those
investors who have carried allocations to hedge fund strategies
in place of more traditional asset classes, the role of hedge
funds has come into question. These concerns are driven largely
by the relative underperformance and the ongoing debate over
excessive fees in the hedge fund industry. It ignores the fact
that the inclusion of hedge funds in a particular portfolio may
well be entirely the result of a desire not to have more
traditional asset class exposure.
Performance fatigue
Indeed most criticism fails to address market exposure
differences between hedge funds and long-only passive products.
On average, hedge funds are neither fully exposed (beta of one)
nor are they fully hedged (beta of zero) to equity markets. It
should therefore come as no surprise that hedge funds tend to
underperform when markets rally strongly, and lose some money
when markets sell off. Figure 1 compares hedge fund performance
(HFRI Composite Index) to that of equities, fixed income and a
generic, diversified portfolio of long-only assets over time. It
is clear that there have been extended periods of out- and
underperformance, and we are currently almost seven years into a
sustained period of underperformance. The chart reflects the
cumulative growth of a hypothetical $100 invested in each of the
asset classes listed. While hedge funds have outperformed over
the very long term, there are periods in between when other
asset classes have performed better.
Figure 1: The long-term track record of hedge funds
Diversified portfolio is 60 per cent MSCI World Index / 40
per cent Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index
Source: Lyxor Asset Management
The decision to include hedge funds as part of a portfolio is
often influenced by the type of investor in question. Certain
investors, primarily ultra high net worth individuals, view hedge
funds as high performance strategies that should outperform more
traditional investments such as long-only equity or fixed income
funds. Hedge funds charge high fees and are managed by some of
the most talented people in the money management industry – and
so it is fair enough to quickly come to a conclusion that hedge
funds should be a pure outperformance product. But we think there
is more to it than this.
Understand what you are buying
Hedge funds can play widely varying roles within a portfolio.
They are often quite specific in nature and may often be used to
fulfil a specific role in the portfolio construction process or
to provide access to certain exposures, themes or ideas that are
otherwise not possible within the more conventional approaches
offered by long-only funds.
As with any investment decision, its success or failure is
assessed relative to the desired outcome. So what might these
desired outcomes be if it is not simply about providing
outperformance relative to long-only products?
Managing your downside risk
Whilst volatility is an imperfect measure of risk it is
nonetheless a useful metric when appraising portfolio
performance, particularly in comparing a portfolio’s downside and
upside volatility (that is, do you get more performance in up
months than what you lose in down months?). The ability of hedge
funds to short, use leverage and implement derivative structures
means that hedge funds often tend to have low correlations to
traditional long-only assets, which can be comforting during
turbulent periods for capital markets.
The combination of dampened volatility (be it downside or total)
and low correlations is an attractive proposition for an investor
considering their overall portfolio – adding such positions to a
traditional portfolio will reduce the total risk of the portfolio
but could increase or maintain long-term returns.
The primary form of defence available to asset allocators faced
with expensive assets or markets is to underweight these assets
relative to a designated benchmark. This doesn’t allow for the
opportunity to directly benefit from a decline in the price of
these assets, nor does it allow for the improvement in a
portfolio’s construction by adding uncorrelated positions. This
is where hedge funds can be useful.
Consider the macro environment
While the last few years have been characterised by low
volatility (in equities, fixed income and currencies) and low
dispersion (that is most companies have benefitted from the wave
of liquidity, irrespective of how well they have performed
operationally) this benign environment cannot persist forever.
The withdrawal of quantitative easing by the US Fed and the
re-assertion of fundamental factors on asset prices should drive
US markets back towards a state of relative normality. This
process of adjustment is likely to create opportunities for those
who are more flexible than their long-only
counterparts.
Other central banks, most notably the European Central Bank and
Bank of Japan, continue to ease monetary policy. This global
divergence in monetary policy is a departure from prior years,
where the central banks of the developed world were following
expansionary policies, which creates opportunities particularly
in the currency and fixed income markets. The opportunity set for
relative value strategies looks a lot more attractive when assets
are not all moving in the same direction.
Aside from the technical and macro perspectives, further
opportunities exist due to activity in the corporate environment
for event driven or merger arbitrage style managers. M&A
activity has remained robust as financing remains cheap,
corporate balance sheets are in a healthy condition and
acquisitions are often accretive to earnings. This creates a
fertile environment for further corporate activity.
Fees
For some, it is all about the fees, and nowhere is this debate
more lively than with regard to hedge funds. We think the answer
is simple – be very sure you are getting what you pay for. The
relative performance versus volatility argument is even more
relevant when you consider the fees you will be paying and what
type of performance you are paying for. This is a substantive
issue in its own right which merits further debate but the short
answer is that investors should be most concerned with
performance net of fees.
It isn’t all about the upside
While on paper the returns generated by hedge funds over the last
few years have lagged long-only strategies, it is important to
assess these results in the context of the specific objectives
from a total portfolio perspective. There are certainly a large
number of hedge funds that have simply performed poorly, but
don’t ignore the others that have done what they said they would.
Yes, hedge funds are more expensive investment vehicles but when
skilfully selected and added to an existing portfolio, the
long-term benefits can more than make up for the added cost.