Surveys
EDITORIAL COMMENT: Rich List Prompts Thoughts On Inequality, The Need For Robust Defence Of Capitalism
The publication of the Sunday Times Rich List comes at a time when the academic and policymaking world is becoming exercised again about inequality. The wealth management industry cannot afford to ignore this issue and must make the case for wealth creation and entrepreneurship.
As summer kicks in the wealth management business can expect its
usual flurry of reports on how the high- and ultra-high net
worths are faring. The Sunday Times newspaper weighed in
yesterday: it announced that the 1,000 richest men and women in
the UK saw their combined wealth rise 13 per cent last year to
£519 billion ($872 billion). That wealth accounts for around a
third of UK gross domestic product although the newspaper says
official data shows no sign that the wealthy are increasing their
total share of the economy.
If that last point holds true, it will be a counter to the
assertion in a much-discussed new book, Capital in the 21st
Century, by Thomas Piketty, a French academic. The central
assertion of his book is that the wealth of capitalists grows
faster than the economy as a whole so that, at one stage or so,
this leads to an explosive social and political confrontation,
and to be dealt with, Piketty recommends swingeing taxes on
capital gains and incomes of the rich. Such a policy was tried in
the UK in the 1970s with disastrous effect; the current President
of France, Francois Hollande, is embarked on a similarly ruinous
course, which explains why parts of London sound so French these
days as affluent people flee the Fifth Republic.
There are several basic flaws in Piketty’s reasoning. Garett
Jones, writing in the US magazine Reason (26 April), put
his finger on the problem so well that I’ll quote him here: “Even
capitalists consume, and they can consume quite a lot. The
typical person might not be able to imagine what it's like to be
worth a billion dollars and have about $40 million a year in
interest and dividend income to spend, but among private jets,
new cars, the latest medical treatments, and gifts for his rich
friends, a billionaire can spend that much just trying to keep up
with his neighbors. Saving is mostly just delayed consumption, as
generations of economists have taught, and the only way for
capital to grow exactly at the interest rate is for nobody to
consume it. Every bit of consumption pushes down the growth rate
of capital.”
He continues: “The entrepreneur who earns a few billion from
innovation might be frugal enough to pass on a massively
compounded pile of capital. But between the possibility of
spendthrift descendants who fritter away her fortune and the
possibility of multiple descendants who divide it into tiny
slices, there's good reason to expect the long-run trend will be
for the capital of billionaires to grow at about the same rate as
the overall economy. Since capital helps the average worker do
her job, we should hope that the world's billionaires will be
frugal rather than reckless, lending their capital to fund
innovation the world over, but we are unlikely to be so lucky.
Billionaire wealth can turn into multimillionaire wealth with
just a few ill-judged marriages.”
Jones goes onto argue that there is no logical reason for
capitalists’ wealth to outpace growth of GDP in the long run:
“The reason is simple. If the first machine is more productive
than the second (i.e., diminishing returns), and if machines wear
out and fall apart at a fairly predictable rate—a depreciation
rate, in accounting-speak—then it's a safe bet that in the long
run capital and the economy will grow at about the same rate.
Double the machines mean double the machines wearing out, so at
some point you have so many machines (and houses and outdated
software and office buildings) wearing out each year that a
nation spends an enormous economic effort just replacing them.
And of course if interest rates are high, business owners look
for alternatives to capital (such as workers); private demand for
capital thus shrinks. So growing replacement costs and the quest
for cheaper alternatives both make it hard to imagine capital
growing as far as the eye can see. I'll spare you the math,
but it's getting harder all the time to see a central
contradiction.”
So why does such a flawed book – more than 700 pages long – get
so much attention if its policy recommendations are so bad and if
it can ignore issues such as diminishing returns, risk and
volatility? This is partly because half a decade on from the
worst financial crisis since arguably the Great Depression,
capitalism – or at least our current version of it – has been
called into question. Piketty gives a nice imprint of academic
respectability to the idea that the rich deserve to be cut
down.
A difficulty for any defender of capitalism and wealth creation –
like yours truly – has is that there is a measure of justice in
the claim that the wealthy have got richer in undeserved ways.
The recent central bank policy of quantitative easing – printing
money – has been to enrich further those who hold equities at the
expense of those reliant on fixed incomes and low-return assets
such as bonds. Parts of the middle class have been squeezed;
certain business tycoons have prospered. For all the pain of
redundancies and cutbacks (think of Barclays a couple of weeks
ago) the world’s top banks are as dominant of their sector as
before 2008. In capitals such as London, the skyrocketing prices
of prime residential properties might suggest rude health – it is
also frustrating for those on more modest earnings seeking to buy
a home.
Away from such specific concerns, though, is another reason why
such a book is being favourably received in certain quarters:
hostility to the idea of inequality as such, and hostility to
capitalism in a world where politicians have lost the ability to
argue coherently for wealth creation. Due to the prevailing
climate of opinion, particularly among the so-called chattering
classes and academic world, it is taken as a fixed assumption
that inequality must be wrong, and that the burden of proof rests
on those who defend inequality, not the other way around. This
rests on the notion that an economy is like a pie that has –
mysteriously – been already created by a group of people who have
a presumed claim on equal slices of it, rather than something
that grows as the result of people choosing to dispose of their
skills/property as they see fit via voluntary exchange. While
there can be institutional and political reasons for inequality –
such as the QE distortion I mentioned – or favours for this or
that interest group (tariffs, subsidies, political favouritism,
corruption, bribery, etc) that deserve censure, in certain cases
it is hard to resist the conclusion that hatred of inequality can
be a rationalisation for envy. Another reason for anger, which is
more meritable, is that people are concerned if upward mobility,
that great solvent of social conflict, appears to have hit a snag
as might be the case today.
There is also more of a need for the wealth management industry to heed, or at least be aware of, the moral case that can be made for free market capitalism, and the importance of free exchange, property rights, entrepreneurial risk-taking and progress. Not enough thinkers have sought to make the moral case that such things are good (with the notable exception in the US of the author and philosopher Ayn Rand, who died in the 1980s but who left a strong intellectual legacy, especially among younger people.) In most cases, the argument for free enterprise is done on utilitarian grounds – that it makes better washing machines than centrally planned systems. While true, it is not very inspiring. And inspiration is important in winning an argument in the long run.
It might seem out of place for the wealth management sector to bother itself with such high-flown philosophical musings, and 99 per cent of the time, I would agree. But this industry cannot afford to ignore the general conversation that goes on in the background, nor can it spend life inside a bubble. Voters are – rightly or wrongly – upset at some of the conspicuous wealth they see and its contrast with poverty. And as we have seen in recent elections, the wealthy make convenient targets. The wealth management industry needs to make a better job at times of defending free enterprise capitalism, the ultimate cause for the industry’s very reason for existence.