Surveys
European Investors Unfazed By Geopolitical Events, Optimistic On Stock Returns - JP Morgan PB Survey

More than 600 high net worth investors participated in a poll on key European, US and global investment issues.
European-based investors are optimistic about stock market
returns in 2017 and are less concerned over geopolitical events,
despite a year of market turbulence and political shocks,
according to JP Morgan
Private Bank.
As part of the firm's latest Private Client Survey, more than 600
high net worth investors participated in a poll on key European,
US and global investment issues to explore expectations for
2017.
Following a year that was packed with political bombshells,
investor concern towards geopolitical events has decreased as
they are currently most preoccupied with policy or economic risks
for markets. Exactly one-quarter of respondents cited central
bank policy divergence as the biggest risk, followed closely by
low inflation or deflation, weighing in at 24 per cent. However,
political underdog Donald Trump's surprise presidential victory
was a concern for 18 per cent of investors, and ongoing fears
surrounding Britain's divorce from the European Union remained
for 16 per cent of respondents.
Findings indicated that public equities are expected to be the
best-performing asset class, with 39 per cent of respondents
believing they will prosper throughout the next 12 months.
Alternative strategies also piqued investors' interest, with 28
per cent expecting these to provide good returns.
Unsurprisingly, in today's environment of record low or negative
bond yields and interest rates, cash and fixed income appealed to
just 9 per cent and 7 per cent of investors respectively.
With returns on cash and government bonds in the developed world
hovering just above zero or even negative, investors have been
turning their attention to emerging markets, according to the
survey's findings. Some 30 per cent of investors
believe emerging markets will enjoy an economic rebound
in 2017. UK-based investors were the most optimistic about
emerging markets, with 42 per cent of respondents claiming that
this will be the “biggest positive”, followed by 34 per cent of
investors based in Germany.
The strength of the US dollar prevailed as 50 per cent of
investors claimed it will be the strongest-performing currency in
2017, with investors in France and Spain being the most confident
on this notion. In contrast, 24 per cent of investors said that
gold will be the “stand-out” performer throughout the next
year.
It would appear that sterling is still suffering from the tremors
created by the UK's decision to Brexit in June last year, as only
12 per cent of investors thought it would be the
strongest-performing currency in 2017.