Investment Strategies
Apricus Finance Cuts Equity, Gold To Neutral Allocation
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The firm spoke about its recent decision to cut some equity exposure, among other moves.
Apricus
Finance, an external asset manager, has cut equity and gold
exposures to a neutral allocation stance, having seen signs that
macroeconomic conditions suggested a need to take a step
back.
Worries about high valuations of US tech stocks – particularly
those tied to AI – renewed US-China trade tensions, concerns
about credit exposures and other forces jolted equity markets in
recent weeks.
“From our observation deck, part of the recent selling has likely
been due to portfolio 'realignment’ ahead of the year-end. We,
similarly, over the past two months, twice cut equities and gold
back to our neutral allocation. We also added some protection on
the equity market,” the firm said in a note about its investment
views.
“We are comfortable approaching the last few weeks of the year,
which could indeed be volatile, with this positioning as we await
more clarity, both on the economy as well as the state of the AI
play, which has, of course, been a dominant market dynamic
throughout 2025,” it continued. “As a reminder, in September, we
also coupled our portfolios with a partial downside protection on
equities.”
Apricus is neutral on equities, and within this, keeps an
overweight stance in the eurozone and Asian ex Japan equities
versus the US ex mega caps. It continues to favour exposure to
credit versus duration in the fixed income space. It has exposure
to investment grade credit, European high yield, hybrids and
financials’ subordinated debt.
On currencies, Apricus is fully hedged on US dollar and Japanese
yen exposure, and retains its allocation to gold.
AI – how long can infrastructure last?
The firm addressed a topic that has started to vex investors: how
long will AI infrastructure endure to justify the heavy outlays?
By some estimates, capex in the artificial intelligence space is
slated to be in the region of $450 to $500 billion for 2025-26.
Actual returns are far off justifying the outlays, requiring a
massive revenue growth becoming reality. (See a
related story.)
“Depreciation has been the talk of the AI industry of late, as
investors try to determine the useful life of key pieces of
equipment. How long will these data centres and their chips be
usable or, to put it another way, what is their rate of decay?”
Apricus said in its note. “Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet and Meta
Platforms, when taken together, represent more than 40 per cent
of Nvidia’s sales. They are projected to increase their combined
AI spending by 34 per cent over the next 12 months, to $440
billion. The risk is that these numbers could become unreliable
if the big AI spenders, in private company OpenAI, have to pull
back on their commitments, as Nvidia’s CEO just acknowledged.”
See here for another article about the views of Apricus, published almost exactly a year ago.