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MiFID II-Created Research Squeeze Hits Activist Shareholders- Industry
A possibly unintended effect of the sweeping EU rules about disclosure of costs and data that came in at the start of this year is that it reduces availability of research in some companies, making shareholder activism more difficult, practitioners say.
There’s a great deal of noise – and increasing action – around
the virtues of what is called impact
investing or environmental, social and governance-themed
(ESG) money management. Investors are encouraged to use their
financial firepower to sack incompetent managers, clean up the
planet and help the poor. It is hard to avoid the chatter around
these issues in finance.
But here is something to note: the ability for shareholders to
use that economic clout is in some ways becoming more, not less,
difficult. One widely chronicled trend has been the surge in the
use of “passive” investment, with the explosive growth in
exchange traded funds. Faced by rising regulatory costs and
dissatisfaction with benchmark-hugging “active” managers, the
bull market in equities has seen a shift towards holding whole
indices or sub-sectors of a market. But how can a holder of an
ETF push to change the policies of constituent firms in an index?
Also, the use of pooled funds means the end-investor is
inevitably less engaged with the firms in which they ultimately
invest. Another issue is that rising compliance burdens as well
as financial shifts have seen a number of listed companies being
taken into private hands via buyouts. All such shifts blunt
shareholder activism.
Consider this article from the Wall Street Journal (6
January, 2017): There has been a contraction in the number of
US-listed firms, contracting by more than 3,000 since peaking at
9,113 in 1997 (source: according to the University of
Chicago’s Center for Research in Security Prices.) In June 2017,
the WSJ said that there were 5,734 such public companies, not
much more than in 1982, when the economy was less than half its
present size.
In Europe, investors have now had seven months of the second
iteration of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive.
(According to IHS Markit, the regulations cost about $2.1 billion
in 2017 alone.) The framers of this directive which see its push
for cost transparency as a way of protecting investors, a most
worthy goal. But beware the law of unintended consequences. One
impact seen even before MiFID II went live was a change to how
sell-side firms provide research on companies. The rules make
firms unbundle research payments from executions, disrupting how
research is done, practitioners say. Industry practitioners also
say that it is aready encouraging some brokers to cut research on
small- and mid-cap stocks because it is no longer a profitable
area – and that is not good for activism, at least in the
short-run.
As fund managers have to start doing their own research on
stocks, there is a danger of their not knowing from peers – as
was the case in the past with sell-side research – whether they
were thinking on the right lines, Nick Burchett, of Cavendish
Asset Management, told this publication.
Regulators want users of research to have a much clearer idea of
what they are paying for, and that is a positive step, Burchett
continued. But the cutbacks in sell-side coverage, at least in
recent months, come at a price.
“The fear may be that if you don’t take everyone’s research you
could be missing out on some tail in the market,” he said. “You
also have to start asking why you own a stock if it is not in
your research universe,” he continued.
A danger might be, Burchett said, that among the less-covered
medium- and small-cap stocks, this situation will get more
severe; roadshows for firms seeking to list on markets and raise
capital could become more onerous, for example. Another issue is
that if research reduces overall, this could lead to bid/offer
spreads widening on stocks as a function of reduced
liquidity.
“I would also add it is vitally important for investors to engage
with management to understand the sentiment, culture and business
practices. This is all well and good but management time is
limited and this ultimately is a distraction from the day job of
running the company,” Burchett said.
But the nub of the problem might also be that active investing
could take a hit, he said.
The MiFID II rules even affect non-European Union firms that
trade in European equities or do business in the bloc.
Cooper Abbott, president and chairman of Carillon Tower
Advisers, a US-based asset management house, said
availability of research coverage of stocks is declining in the
UK as a result of MiFID II.
“We are seeing a similar phenomenon in North America driven more
by the separation of research from trading, but with similar net
results,” Abbott continued.
On the flipside, if there are under-researched firms, that is
eventually going to create tempting opportunities for
alpha-chasing investors looking for diamonds amid an increasingly
opaque universe, he said.
“That sets up very interesting opportunities for research-based
investors from a longer perspective,” he said.
“The focus [of many investors] these days has become so
short-term. Patience, an ability to look beyond the most
current quarterly earnings, can drive significant returns when
combined with original analysis,” he added.
It may well be that developments around AI, for example, may mean
researching companies becomes a lot cheaper – and the very fact
that some stocks might be under-researched is going to be a great
opportunity for investors seeking the “ugly ducklings” that might
become a swan. But what appears clear according to some
practitioners is that the regulatory landscape is not yet making
it easier for investors to analyse firms and change how they
behave. One paradox of today is that pressure for transparency
that has given us MiFID II and other rules may for some time be
at odds with modern ideas about investing for impact.