Market Research
Optimism Among FTSE 350 Firms Rebounds In Face Of Brexit Bickering

This is Deloitte's 41st quarterly survey of chief financial officers and group finance directors of major companies in the UK.
Optimism among chief financial officers has rebounded close to
levels logged at the end of last year, recovering from post-UK
election lows in the face of Brexit-induced tumult, new data has
shown.
Although concerns over the long-term effects of the UK’s divorce
from the European Union have cooled, Brexit still tops the list
of risks cited by CFOs as they remain on a defensive footing,
according to a survey conducted by Deloitte.
“Optimism among CFOs has rebounded after a slump following the
snap general election and perceptions of uncertainty have eased
to almost half the level seen immediately after the referendum,”
Ian Stewart, chief economicst at Deloitte, said. “Despite Brexit
uncertainties, a broadening global recovery has helped lift
sentiment among CFOs.”
Over a quarter (27 per cent) of CFOs of 102 FTSE 350 and “other
large private companies” surveyed by the Big Four firm said they
were more optimistic about their company’s prospects than they
were three months ago, up from 18 per cent in the previous
quarter. Some 27 per cent also said they were less optimistic,
down from 42 per cent in the second quarter of this
year.
The survey’s findings come at a time of political turbulence in
the UK, with Brexit bickering continuing in Brussels as the UK
tries to secure the best deal possible for the nation and its
financial services sector. Interestingly, another survey, issued
today, states that less than half of EU nationals working in the
UK think they will stay in the country if Theresa May's
government can't reach a negotiated deal with the bloc. (See that
story here.)
Over a third (34 per cent) said that the level of uncertainty
facing their business was “high or very high”, down from 43 per
cent in the last quarter and almost half the level reported
immediately after last June’s referendum.
Nearly a quarter (24 per cent) have said that now is a good time
to take risk onto their balance sheet, a slight rise from 22 per
cent in Q2 but trifold the level seen after the Brexit
vote.
Cutting costs was still CFOs’ main priority, and 41 per cent
cited this as a “key focus”, albeit down from 46 per cent in the
last quarter. This was followed by introducing new products and
services (39 per cent) and increasing cash flow (35 per
cent).
“It is testament to the changeable business environment that,
eight years into the UK recovery, CFOs remain on a cautious
footing with cost control still the number one balance sheet
priority,” Stewart said.
Regardless of the shape Brexit takes, nearly two-thirds (60 per
cent) of CFOs said the business environment would be worse once
the UK exits the bloc. This figure, however, dropped 12 per cent
over the third quarter, which suggested a somewhat more positive
outlook on Brexit even though European political tensions have
brewed.
“Concerns over Brexit look to have eased slightly in this latest
survey with just under two-thirds of CFOs expecting an adverse
effect on the business environment, down from nearly
three-quarters in Q2,” David Sproul, senior partner and chief
executive of Deloitte Northwest Europe, said.
He continued: “However, CFOs continue to see Brexit as being the
top risk facing business. CFOs expect Brexit to have an impact on
their business decisions, with almost a third expecting it to
reduce their investment plans over the next three years and a
third expect it to hit hiring.
“It is critical that progress is achieved soon in the
negotiations between the UK and the EU to provide more certainty
to business and to deliver a real boost to corporate spirits and
plans.”