Tax
OPINION OF THE WEEK: As Fiscal Woes Mount, Middle Class In Firing Line

Amid press speculation that the UK will start to cap gifts to potential heirs and others, the editor mulls over how the tax authorities will target an increasingly wider base of the public, with potentially damaging consequences down the line.
We need to talk about intergenerational wealth transfer. For as
long as I have written on wealth management, this has been a
dominant financial topic worldwide. And while there’s far more to
it than dealing with tax, it’s a large part of the picture.
There’s no getting away from it.
And it appears that in the UK, there’s no avoiding Rachel Reeves,
Chancellor of the Exchequer, either. She’s rumoured to be looking
at capping how much one can gift to another before death, free of
tax. Today, gifts made seven years before someone dies are not
subject to inheritance tax (IHT); those given three to seven
years before death are taxed on a sliding scale, with the rate
falling each year from 32 per cent to 8 per cent. Reeves has
already continued to freeze the threshold for IHT at £325,000
($441,258) – as was also the case under the previous Conservative
government. This means that more people have been caught in the
IHT net as asset values have risen.
Consider what has happened already. In late October 2024
Reeves introduced a Budget that widened the scope of
inheritance tax to the anger of farmers and family-run
firms; she also went after resident non-domiciled persons
(to be fair, this was also the line of her Conservative
predecessor, Jeremy Hunt). Her inclusion of worldwide estates of
non-doms in any IHT reckoning has encouraged thousands to leave
the UK. National Insurance contributions on
employers went up, and to no-one’s surprise, if they
understand business, growth has stalled. Large pay hikes for
certain public sector employees, however well deserved they might
be, also cost money.
The government has struggled to contain spending, as shown
by backbench Labour MPs’ hostility to cuts to disability
benefits, which bodes ill for any attempt to reduce the problem
of work-age adults not seeking a job. About nine million
people aged between 16 and 64 in the UK are not in work nor are
they looking for a job (source: BBC, 12
March 2024). Throw in the impact of Donald Trump’s tariffs
and the frictional impact of Brexit, and it is not a pretty
picture. We seem to be in a sort of doom loop of falling
revenues, demand for more taxes, and a flatlining
economy.
But I cannot see Reeves changing tack now. Ironically,
with Labour performing poorly in the public opinion polls (25 per
cent, according to the latest Ipsos poll), she and her colleagues
might be tempted to say “damn the torpedoes” and tax the middle
classes even more. This government is, assuming that the polls
are accurate, likely to lose all, or most, of its parliamentary
majority at the next general election. (The same Ipsos poll puts
Reform at 34 per cent and the Conservatives at a meagre 15 per
cent, with the Greens, Liberal Democrats and others making up the
rest.)
The government therefore is looking at the wealth transfer
phenomenon as one to be milked. Rising asset values – aggravated
by more than a decade of central bank money printing – have been
a boon to parts of the public, particularly those who no longer
worry about mortgage bills.
Capping gifting is going to affect a wide number of people who
are trying to give their children and grandchildren help through
the earlier parts of their lives.
There are various concerns about such a move – and wealth
managers have
already aired them. There are other criticisms that I also
make. For example, the impact on incentives. Consider
that many people like to gift wealth to children and
grandchildren to help them with things such as buying a home,
paying for college fees, etc. This may surprise some, but not
everyone is motivated only by a desire to enrich themselves –
they also think of their offspring, other family members and
friends, as part of what motivates them to put in the hard yards
at work.
And remember that as it was made, the wealth a person has amassed has already been subjected to tax in the first place – under sales, income, capital gains and other taxes. Inheritance tax hits people for a third or fourth time on what they’ve made. Given the distortions and issues that UK inheritance tax give rise to, such as an increasingly Byzantine attempt to avoid it via trusts, insurance and offshore structures (which often don't work or cost a lot of money in fees), there is a strong case in my view to abolish inheritance tax and perhaps impose a simple, low tax on inheritors rather than pay it from the estate of the deceased. The current system is complicated, and frankly cruel when it affects people who have just lost a loved one.
Capping gifts on intergenerational transfers when the granter of a gift is still around and working away to build wealth, seems objectionable if you believe in property rights. This will only further weaken the desire of people to want to build a life not just for themselves, but those who come after them. It's hard to see how this is going to build a stronger appetite to create wealth in future.