Surveys
Investors Cheered Up In July

Unlike polls and surveys, the State Street measure of confidence looks at what investors are actually doing in terms of buying and selling.
A barometer of how confident investors are about markets showed
that their mood brightened in July even though economic news
remains challenging.
The Global Investor Confidence Index, produced by State Street, increased
to 102.2, up 8.0 points from June’s revised reading of 94.2. The
increase was led by an 8.1 point rise in the North American ICI
to 104.5, and, to a lesser extent, a 4.4 rise in the Asian ICI to
93.2. The European ICI also rose marginally in July, up 0.7
points to 85.7.
“Global sentiment has been boosted by hopes that central bank
rates will not need to rise as much as previously feared, as
activity data shows signs of slowing. Whether the much-hoped for
soft landing can be achieved, however, remains a major
uncertainty,” Lee Ferridge, head of multi-asset strategy, the
Americas for State Street Global Markets, said.
The index captures the buying and selling patterns of
institutional investors. The index assigns a precise meaning to
changes in investor risk appetite: the greater the percentage
allocation to equities, the higher risk appetite or confidence. A
reading of 100 is neutral; it is the level at which investors are
neither increasing nor decreasing their long-term allocations to
risky assets. The index differs from survey-based measures in
that it is based on the actual trades, as opposed to opinions, of
institutional investors.
“The North American series continues to lead the way rising by
over 8 points, while the Asia index increased by 4.4 points.
Sentiment toward European markets remains the laggard,
however, rising just 0.7 points as, despite the recent decline in
oil prices globally, ongoing concerns over the impact of the
Ukraine conflict continues to render European investors
cautious,” Ferridge said.