Technology
FEATURE: Robo-Advisor Phenomenon Gathers Pace; Electronic Media Tycoon Is Unconvinced

While doubts remain about the full potential of technology, the buzz around "robo-advisors" is not just a passing phase in wealth management.
Wherever you look there doesn’t seem to be a way of avoiding talk
of the “robo-advisor”. Enter the term into Google and you get
436,000 hits. The idea of automated financial advice has reached
the stage where even former New York mayor and media tycoon,
Michael Bloomberg, has attacked it. (This is richly ironic, given
how he made his billions as an innovative provider of news and
information.) We have seen that Alibaba, the Asia e-commerce firm
that recently set records in its New York IPO, is looking at
getting in on the act.
A recent report by MyPrivateBanking Research, a Switzerland-based
research firm examining trends in the sector, has warned that the
conventional private banking models are under threat from these
“robots”. (See
here.) There is also the realisation in parts of the industry
that the issue of the so-called “advice gap” – people left unable
to afford financial advice due to regulatory cost pressures – is
a pressing public policy issue, and technology could provide some
kind of fix.
One point to consider is that the picture looks a bit different
depending on which side of the Atlantic Ocean you are on and
there are differences also in other regions such as Europe. At
Celent, the consultancy
and research firm, it recently issued a 24-page report,
Automating Advice: How Online Firms Are Disrupting the Market
for Financial Advice. Largely focusing on the US, it looked,
at how US registered investment advisors, or RIAs, are at risk of
being disintermediated by these technology trends.
The report’s author, William Trout, told this publication that
the phenomenon is not just seen in the US – the usual nation to
lead in such tech advances. (It is the land of Silicon Valley,
after all.) He said there is plenty of robo-vigour in the UK
market also, citing examples of such tech-driven firms as Nutmeg,
WealthHorizon and the magnificently-named Money on Toast. (On the
continent, there is also the example of Swissquote ePrivate
Banking, the Swiss-based outfit.)
He sees a bit of a difference, at present, in what is driving the
robo-advisor trend in the UK and US. "The fundamental difference
is that in the US, technology drives changes, in the UK it is
more about regulation,” he said in a telephone call.
One unifying feature of markets in both countries is that the
portfolio construction and management process has been
commoditised because it so conducive to being automated; the
disruptive nature of technology does not centre on product (i.e.
the investment portfolio itself) but on the means of delivering
it.
“Looking forward, I’d say most aspects of the broad investment
management process are vulnerable to commoditisation, even what
is today described as investment `strategy’. That’s to say, the
question is increasingly not what aspects of investments delivery
can be automated, but rather what aspects cannot,” Trout
said.
An issue will be whether the robo-advisor trend will be
sufficient to overcome the kind of cost pressures that are
leading conventional private banks/wealth managers to shift away
from serving the mass affluent market towards high net worth and
ultra HNW clients. At a recent briefing for journalists by the
UK's Wealth
Management Association, your correspondent was left in no
doubt that in Europe at least, and in the wider world, the sheer
volume of regulation means that even the snazziest tech platform
faces significant compliance challenges. With so much IT spending
still being driven by regulation – Europe has the joys of MiFID 2
to consider soon, for example – it remains to be seen how much
innovation there will be.
There are signs that the traditional firms are taking the
robo-advisor issue seriously. For instance, Schroders, the
UK-listed wealth manager, along with other firms has injected
some capital into Nutmeg, one of the best-known of the
robo-advisors. (Nutmeg was founded in 2012.) Industry figures
tell WealthBriefing that this looks very much as if
Schroders wants to use its involvement to monitor how well, or
otherwise, Nutmeg does in challenging existing businesses and
whether it can make a consistent profit.
As is always the case in the early stages, some of the newbies
won’t survive, just as happened in the early stages of the dotcom
boom. There are doubters. Last July, the data and news service
Bloomberg shuttered BloombergBlack, its investment
advisory service, to new and existing clients, although the firm
hasn’t said it is completely shutting the door to such ventures
in future. The firm’s eponymous owner, Michael Bloomberg, was
reported saying recently: “I don’t believe in automation for
client service. When a client calls, it is a unique opportunity
for us to interface with you, find out how things are going, and
sell you another product.”
Up to a point, he may be right, although even the process of
suggesting a client buy another product is becoming a feature of
technology – consider how channels such as Amazon recommend other
products/services to a client after a purchase is made. As
mentioned above, Alibaba, the Chinese e-commerce giant, has moved
into the business of distributing wealth management products and
services. It may also be that it is in Asia, and the faster
growing parts of the world, where some of the most important
innovation lies - after all, Japan has been a trailblazer in
industrial robotics, and China is a big operator in this area
today.
There is no doubt that automation of many aspects of life is here to stay, and the wealth industry needs to be on top of this trend.