Asset Management
Europe's Big CLO Growth Promise, Investment Potential – PGIM

We talk to PGIM, the US-headquartered investment firm, about what it says is the rapid expected growth of collateralised loan obligations. These are securities that are backed by a pool of loans.
This summer, PGIM, part of US-headquartered Prudential Financial, launched a collateralised loan obligation (CLO) fund inside a European UCITS structure. PGIM said the demand for these products is hotting up, for example among wealth managers.
  European CLO issuance is expected, it says, to double to €75
  billion ($86.4 billion) annually by 2030. CLOs are, according to
  one internet definition, a "form of securitisation where
  payments from multiple middle sized and large business loans are
  pooled together.” Such investments offer an opportunity for
  investors to gain exposure to higher-than-average returns by
  assuming default risk. Each tranche within a CLO has distinct
  risk-reward characteristics, with equity tranches offering higher
  potential returns at higher risk levels. We have carried
  commentaries about the CLO sector before. 
  
  At a time when interest rates have fallen and there is a focus on
  sources of yield – of a risk-controlled nature – firms such as
  PGIM are saying that the asset class deserves attention.
  WealthBriefing recently spoke to Edwin Wilches, co-head
  of securitised products at PGIM’s fixed income business, about
  the sector.
  WB: Why in your view are European investors keen
  on CLOs and what is driving this? 
  Wilches: The bond bull market that began in late
  2022 is continuing, driven by an environment of elevated yields
  and ample carry opportunities. Securitised products, particularly
  senior CLO tranches, stand out in today’s fixed income landscape
  for their strong relative value and attractive risk-adjusted
  returns. With credit spreads for most high-quality fixed income
  assets tighter than historical averages, CLO senior tranches
  offer compelling opportunities, especially at the top of the
  capital structure. Indeed, AAA CLOs continue to offer some of the
  widest spreads among investment-grade assets, with far less
  duration risk.
  
  WB: I understand that CLO issuance is expected
  to double to €75 billion annually by 2030? Who is making this
  prediction?
  Wilches: Most market watchers agree that CLOs
  will continue to serve as a key source of funding for corporate
  debt issuance in both the US and European markets, while also
  offering an attractive value proposition for debt investors. The
  issuance projections vary depending on the source, but €75
  billion in euro CLO issuance is definitely within the realm of
  possibility by 2030.
  
  WB: In your view, why has this market
  boomed in the US in recent years? What sort of investors are keen
  on it?
  Wilches: In the years following the global
  financial crisis, a common misconception among investors was
  confusing CLOs with CDOs [collateralised debt obligations), the
  highly complex instruments made infamous during the 2008 global
  financial crisis. As time has passed and CLOs have demonstrated
  their resilience across multiple market cycles, a growing number
  of investors have given the asset class a closer look. More
  recently, this greater receptivity has coincided with a period of
  tightening credit spreads in more traditional investment grade
  assets, as well as the rise in rates that served as a return
  headwind for fixed rate bonds in 2022. 
  
  While investors such as pension funds, insurance companies, and
  family offices have historically been active investors in CLOs,
  these market developments have led to greater uptake among
  investors in the wealth and private banking space.
  
  WB: In terms that a lay investor can understand,
  how do CLOs work?
  Wilches: Put simply, CLOs are fixed income
  securities consisting of aggregated corporate loans. Each CLO
  diversifies across 150 to 250 senior secured loans from corporate
  borrowers, which are segmented into ‘tranches’ based on
  subordination and income priority. Catering to a range of
  investor appetites, AAA tranches sit at the top of the capital
  structure and are considered the most risk-remote, while
  lower-rated tranches offer higher yields but carry greater
  risk. 
  
  WB: CLOs today are backed by broadly syndicated,
  more transparent, senior secured corporate loans. What else can
  be said to reassure people who think that complex packages of
  loans or bonds make them queasy?
  Wilches: A key factor differentiating CLOs from
  the pre-GFC CDOs is collateral. CLOs are backed by diversified,
  transparent corporate credit, from large, often well-known
  companies. This robust collateral base offers greater protection
  and comfort versus legacy securitisations such as subprime
  mortgages.
  
  WB: Can you give examples of how they are less
  correlated to other markets? What sort of data is there on
  this? 
  Wilches: Given their underlying corporate
  exposure, CLO tranches tend to be positively correlated with
  floating rate or shorter duration corporate of similar quality.
  Given the broad, liquid nature of the CLO market, there is ample
  data to demonstrate this (see below chart, “Correlations vs AAA
  CLOs”). While the correlation between CLO tranches and corporate
  debt is positive, it’s not one-to-one – and during certain
  periods, such as the UK gilt crisis, CLO tranches have exhibited
  lower downside volatility than corporate debt of similar quality
  (see “Historic 12-month drawdown” chart below), highlighting the
  diversification benefits this asset class can bring.
   
  These benefits are even more pronounced when drawing a comparison
  with broader bond indices and developed market government
  debt, which have historically demonstrated low or negative
  correlation to CLOs.     
  
  
  WB: In holding funds linked to CLOs, what
  typically are the fees/expense ratios?
  Wilches: Fees and expenses can vary based on a
  broad range of factors including CLO tranche focus (e.g. AAA vs
  lower rated tranches), flexibility level (e.g. US-only vs full
  global approach), distribution channel, vehicle type, etc, so it
  really depends. 
  
  WB: In terms of time horizons for investors, are
  these short/medium/long-term investment
  propositions?
  Wilches: We see CLOs as offering a compelling
  long-term investment proposition. While some investors may take a
  more tactical, short-term approach, AAA CLO tranches can serve as
  attractive long-term allocations alongside other high quality
  fixed income exposures.
  
  WB: Can you give me a general quote on why this
  asset class deserves more attention in Europe?
  Wilches: The global CLO market is a large,
  established segment of the fixed income category. With momentum
  building since the late 1990s, these instruments are becoming a
  core component of broader fixed-income strategies. New structures
  are now democratising access for retail investors following
  decades in which CLOs comprised an exclusively institutional
  asset class. The US remains the largest market, but Europe is
  expanding rapidly.
  
  For investors seeking to enhance yield with minimal credit risk,
  AAA CLOs offer a compelling alternative to traditional holdings
  such as government bonds and corporate debt. However, rather
  than simply replacing core bond allocations, AAA CLOs are gaining
  appeal as a complementary holding to improve a portfolio’s
  overall efficiency and diversification. For example, allocating
  10 to 30 per cent of a traditional bond portfolio to AAA CLOs has
  historically improved risk-adjusted returns, especially during
  periods of market stress or rate uncertainty.