Market Research
Bleak 2010 For Asia Pacific Equity Markets, Says MTS Research

Equity markets in the Asia-Pacific region are only at the early
stages of recovery and are not likely to see substantially
positive changes over the next nine to fifteen months,
a report by regional investment specialist
MTS Research reveals.
In January the company predicted a continuing drop in
Asia Pacific equity markets this year and this was confirmed by
February figures. The Hang Seng Index was down 4.1 points from
January to February and the Straits Times Index dropped 54.55
points, while the Taiwan Weighted Index slumped 379.33 points.
Declines were seen in all the other key indices in the region,
MTS Research said.
"The most obvious scenario globally would be for Western markets
to bottom not too far from current levels, and then trade
sideways. The risk for the Pacific is that it bounces more
weakly, and has a longer and deeper correction while Western
indices merely return to the bottom of their recent range,"
Peter Beutell, the founder and managing director of MTS
Research, said in a statement.
According to Mr Beutell, the crisis had led markets to hit
short-term oversold levels. However, while global equity markets
began correction patterns in late 2008 or early 2009, with most
already reaching targets as of the end of last year, Asia Pacific
markets do not appear to have adequately developed recovery
patterns - thereby suggesting that a deeper correction and a
much longer wait is expected.
"The regional correction has probably not run its course," Mr
Beutell said.
A separate study by
BofA Merrill Lynch Research appears to chime
with these results, revealing that Chinese stocks are the
worst performers for the year, owing mostly to "misinterpretation
of the latest tightening policies by the Chinese government," as
noted by strategist David Cui in a statement on 3 February.
The Shanghai Composite Index was down 8.8 per cent this year,
while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped 9 per cent.