Investment Strategies
Bankers Fear "Bitcoin Treasuries" Are An Accident Waiting To Happen – Here's Why
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Regardless of what the latest tech or investment enthusiasm is, a danger that goes back centuries is imprudent leverage. An investment firm focused on digital assets and cryptocurrencies flags a concern about the growing use of bitcoin and other entities as reserves on corporate balance sheets.
There’s a potential problem brewing in the digital assets world –
the boom in “bitcoin treasuries” or “digital asset treasuries”
(DATs) that have been used by hundreds of publicly-listed
companies as a balance sheet reserve asset.
Most of these companies are in the US, but organisations in the
UK, Canada, Japan and Hong Kong are also involved.
This boom is alarming bankers. A few says ago, Nickel
Digital Asset Management, a European hedge fund manager
specialising in the field, issued results of a poll among bankers
about the use of bitcoin treasuries. It found that 32 per cent of
respondents agreed that the growing trend is a “time bomb” for
the digital asset ecosystem; 29 per cent said crypto treasury
companies are attractive, but fragile.
According to Nickel Digital AM, at the core of the worry is
that bitcoin treasury companies, which hold the
cryptocurrency as a significant portion of their corporate
treasury reserves, could pose a risk through the amplified
volatility and risk of systemic shocks if they have highly
leveraged balance sheets. Some bitcoin treasury companies can
rely on acquiring bitcoin using capital raised from public equity
or debt markets. This could create a dangerous feedback loop if
the cryptocurrency falls sharply.
To gather views, the poll was conducted among senior investment
bankers in the UK, US, Singapore and Switzerland.
Nickel Digital AM says that figures (source:
BitcoinTreasuries.net) show that the number of
bitcoin held by publicly listed companies is around 1.01 million
with 190 companies holding it on their balance sheets. It
estimates a further 139 entities including governments, private
companies, exchange-traded funds and other funds, exchanges and
custodians, and decentralised finance (DeFi) smart contracts hold
bitcoin.
A big play
Software group Strategy – the US company formerly known as Micro
Strategy – dominates the area, holding about 70 per cent of the
market, benefiting a first-mover advantage. In its
second-quarter results, Strategy said operating income
skyrocketed by 7,106 per cent on a year ago to $14.03
billion. The firm said it logged a bitcoin (BTC) yield of
19.7 per cent in the second quarter, and 25.0 per cent since
January, against its revised full-year 2025 target of 30 per
cent.
Success like this breeds imitators.
“The proliferation of “copycat” firms replicating MSTR playbook
can represent an issue and a ticking time bomb,” Anatoly
Crachilov, CEO and founding partner of Nickel Digital AM, told
this news service in an interview about the poll’s findings.
There are over 100 public companies that had launched variations
of [the] Micro Strategy model, with even greater number in the
pipeline," he said. “There is a massive pipeline of companies
looking to launch into this business.”
The rise of digital assets treasury (DAT) companies became a
widespread phenomenon of 2025. Crachilov said that in the
MicroStrategy case, the firm's share price of MSTR is highly
correlated to the bitcoin price. In fact, the volatility of its
stock is higher than bitcoin, he continued.
Attraction
Crachilov said that a public company whose main business is
focused on accumulating a stockpile of BTC, becomes an attractive
access point for three major group of investors:
(a) those unable to access bitcoin directly for regulatory
reasons or due to restricted investment mandate;
(b) speculative capital seeking a high volatility play,
and
(c) investors seeking to accumulate BTC through MSTR’s ability to
increase BTC per share, one of the metrics pursued by
MSTR.
Furthermore, in certain countries, such as Japan, the demand is
additionally fuelled by tax advantages of holding bitcoin via
DATs rather than directly (because price appreciation is
taxed on a m-t-m basis, irrespective of whether the asst is sold
or not), Crachilov said. This explains their growth in certain
markets. In the US, however, tax is not as significant a driver.
The financial engineering is.
“Public companies, often those in operational decline and
underperforming their core business, are seeking to boost their
(often dormant) share price by converting themselves into DAT
vehicles, resulting in (at least initially) a price spike,
often trading at significant multiple to net asset value,” he
said. “For example, MetaPlanet, a small Japanese real estate
company, saw a massive price boost after converting itself into a
DAT company and traded at the multiple of 8.4 times earnings in
June 2025, before falling back to 1.14x by September.”
To acquire bitcoin (or increasingly a wider spectrum of crypto
assets), a DAT company raises capital either through new ATM
share issues, various convertible bonds structures or an outright
senior debt financing.
The convertible bonds can carry a very low rate but with the
embedded convertibility option, allowing convertibility into the
company’s stock at certain predetermined price level (such as a
35 per cent premium to current price). Given the high volatility
of the underlying stock, this optionality can be highly
attractive for hedge funds, which became a large player in the
space, Crachilov said.
While on one hand this leads to a greater institutional adoption,
the stability of their capital structure may impact overall
sector development, he said.
Echoes of the SPAC surge
Crachilov agreed with WealthBriefing’s suggestion that
in a way there was a parallel with the surge of interest a
few years ago in Special Purpose Acquisition
Companies (SPACs). The
sector cooled rapidly after a boom of several months about
four years ago, affected in part by critical comments from
the Securities and Exchange Commission. SPACs are also sometimes
called blank-cheque companies that are created with the purpose
of merging with a private company within two years of the
listing.
Asked about the possible concern that the SEC and other
regulators might have about bitcoin treasuries and the like,
Crachilov said a bigger problem is the financial
sustainability of these companies and their ability to withstand
significant price correction, without being forced to liquidate
their holdings, further exacerbating a possible crisis.
“Shares [of the companies] need to trade at a premium to net
asset value for the sponsor to be able to issue new ATMs, without
severe dilution impact to the existing shareholders.” he said.
“If share price trades at the premium to bitcoin-per-share, then
it becomes financially attractive for the DAT to issue new
shares. However, once the premium collapses to par, the new
issuances become less attractive (and dilutive if it slides into
discount).”
If the share price falls, a DAT company would not necessarily
collapse under such circumstances, but expansion will get
hampered. If a stock trades at significant discount to NAV, a
company might need to liquidate some of its crypto holding or may
become a subject of acquisition by a larger rival.
Crachilov said the capital structure of these companies
represents an important indication of their long-term stability;
most use covenant-lite bonds, with varying maturities and some
have already converted into stock. However, the newly-launched
DAT companies might engage in a risky fundraising (to catch up
with wider rivals, while lacking established credibility with the
market), thus funding themselves through short-maturity senior
debt. Such a capital structure might be prone to significant
pressure at the time of market distress.
“It has to be noted that most of the financial flow entering such
structure is a mercenary capital, i.e. highly opportunistic,
short-term, and fluid in its nature” he said.
Today, about 850,000 bitcoins are held by DAT companies, a 40 per
cent rise from 600,000 held at the start of 2025. This is equal
to about 4 per cent of the total bitcoin in existence.
“Growing demand for bitcoin is a well understood phenomenon as it
is incredibly recognised as a hedge against monetary and fiscal
irresponsibility,” Crachilov concluded. “However, those investors
who are patient owners of capital with long-term investment
horizons will be best served either by direct bitcoin holding or
via regular ETF vehicles.”