Real Estate
ANALYSIS: Asians' Love Affair With London Shows No Sign Of Cooling

Asian investors own almost a quarter of the large, newly developed property schemes in London, underscoring their buying power in the UK capital.
London is arguably the most cosmopolitan metropolis in the world
and it is unusual for a day to go by when there isn’t a story
about Asian investors snapping up properties and other assets in
the city.
As far as Asian high net worth and ultra HNW individuals are
concerned, the UK’s capital has been a popular investment
destination for some time. The iconic Battersea Power Station,
for example, is being redeveloped by a Malaysian consortium;
WealthBriefingAsia reported earlier this week on more
banks, some of them Asian, joining the financing package.
According to Dominic Field, co-founder and chief executive of
Temple Field Property, a boutique real estate search firm, London
is the target of "unimaginable" investment despite worries about
how a possible future UK government might hit high-value
properties with a so-called "Mansion Tax". Much of this
investment, he has said, comes from Asia.
Savills, the global property firm, says London is now the most
expensive city in which to work and live, supplanting Hong Kong
for the first time in such a ranking for five years. The UK's
Royal Mail has sold its former central London sorting office next
to the Paddington railway station to a Singaporean consortium for
£111 million. Knight Dragon, backed by Hong Kong billionaire Dr
Henry Cheng Kar-Shun, is to provide 10,000 units on the Greenwich
Peninsula. Development of the site started earlier this year.
Greenland, a Chinese state owned developer, recently acquired two
sites in Wandsworth and Docklands, both with consent for just
under 600 units each.
Asian investors have also extended their interest to prime areas
such as Mayfair. The Indian based Lodha Group recently acquired
the former Canadian High Commission and has submitted plans for
41 flats behind the existing façade. The property lies on
Grosvenor Square, opposite the current US Embassy. There was
stiff competition for the site, with the developer behind One
Hyde Park also interested. The property was sold for over £300
million.
The list of such deals appears to be limitless.
To confirm the scale of Asian buying, Alex Newall, managing
director of Hanover Private
Office says that more than 20 per cent of units in large
London schemes in the development pipeline are under control of
Asian developers – a massive contrast to the situation over the
past 15 years when none were undertaken, it said in a report.
Far Eastern developers have only recently established themselves
as major players in the London new build market. In the last 15
years, they have not been involved in any single developments of
over 500 units, Hanover said. All that has changed: Asian
developers are now behind more than 21 per cent of units at
application, permission or under construction stage.
A report yesterday by the international property firm, Cushman & Wakefield, which does extensive work in Asia, added more confirmation to the trend. In a white paper, entitled China's Outbound Boom: The Rise of Chinese Investment in Global Real Estate, it said that China has emerged as a major global exporter of capital in recent years, with Chinese outbound real estate investment growing rapidly. Chinese outbound investment in commercial property reached a total of about $33.7 billion in the period from 2008 to June 2014 , growing more than 200-fold during that time. It is fair to suppose a hefty chunk of this money has gone to London.
A number of forces are pushing this trend: London has made a
point of being friendly to foreigners –notwithstanding some
removals of tax breaks on foreign-owned properties – and the
relative strength of the UK economy contrasts with the more
lacklustre continent. China’s economic prowess and a desire from
high net worth citizens to park some of their assets abroad has
put London in the frame.
Another factor might be the UK’s investment visa regime, which
allows wealthy investors to obtain a visa within a certain period
in return for investing at least £2 million in to the UK; despite
changes, the UK’s renowned non-domiciled system is also
relatively friendly to the international investor who also wants
to hang out in London.
An issue, as ever, is what might happen in the event of adverse
shocks in Asia or London itself. Clearly, nothing is without its
risks. The UK is likely, at least according to most economists,
to see higher interest rates at some point next year, albeit
probably behind the trend of the US. (A rise in rates is both
inevitable and given the historical pattern, desirable.) There is
a UK general election next May and the opinion polling evidence
does not point to a clear majority for a particular party; if the
UK Labour Party, which wants to impose a “Mansion tax” on
high-valued properties, were to obtain power, it could chill the
market.
And there is always that nagging worry about whether London’s
real estate market has already been in bubble territory for some
time. In September, the total return index for UK property (all
types) was almost 20 per cent over 12 months, almost three times
the comparable performance of equities, according to Investment
Property Databank. Both the Bank of England and the International
Monetary Fund have warned about a housing bubble in the UK – and
with the country’s history of boom/bust in bricks-and-mortar,
those warnings deserve to be taken seriously.
But whatever warnings or risks lurk out there, for the time being
at least, Asian investors just cannot get enough of London.