WM Market Reports
Rising Markets Propelled HNW Population, Wealth Growth In 2021; Asia Lagged – Capgemini
Another of the large annual wealth reports has underscored how rising markets last year boosted total HNW individuals' wealth and numbers in 2021. It also highlighted varying regional fortunes. The US retained its leading position.
Rising equity and specific other markets boosted total wealth of
high net worth and ultra-HNW individuals during 2021.
It boosted North America in particular while Asia
languished, contrasting with performance of previous years,
according to Capgemini.
The firm’s annual World Wealth Report, issued today,
follows hard on the heels of other studies from the likes of
Morgan
Stanley, Oliver
Wyman and Boston
Consulting Group, all suggesting that improved markets last
year boosted growth. A question, however, is what happens if
markets cannot recover ground lost this year, particularly due to
rising inflation worries and the Russian invasion of Ukraine in
late February.
The global HNW individual population grew by 7.8 per cent and
their wealth grew by 8 per cent in 2021 owing to recovering
economies being boosted by the stock market. (The report defines
“high net worth” as those with $1 million or more in investable
wealth. As this news service
discussed recently, that measure hasn’t changed for two
decades or more, even though inflation has eroded monetary values
over that time.)
North America continued along its growth trajectory, boasting the
highest increase in HNW individual population and wealth, 13.2
per cent and 13.8 per cent respectively. From an overall growth
rate standpoint, Asia-Pacific’s 2021 HNW individual growth in
population (4.2 per cent) and wealth (5.4 per cent) put the
region, which had dominated HNWI growth over the last decade,
into third place.
“Unprecedented government stimulus packages, low-interest-rate
environments, increased liquidity, stock market gains, and
widespread Covid-19 vaccinations drove 2021 global economic
resilience and accelerated HNW individual population and wealth
growth,” Capgemini said.
Capgemini interviewed 2,973 HNW individuals across 24 wealth
markets in North America, Latin America, Europe, and the
Asia-Pacific region. Interviews and surveys of more than 70
wealth management executives were conducted across 10
markets.
US as Number One
In 2021, the top-four positions in the HNW individual population
by market were retained by the US States, Japan, Germany, and
China respectively, comprising 63.6 per cent of the global total
of such individuals, an increase of 0.7 per cent from 2020.
Ultra-HNW individuals ($30 million or more in investable wealth)
led global wealth and population growth, at the rates of 9.6 per
cent and 8.1 per cent, respectively.
Within the Asia mix, performance was highly varied. In India, the
HNW individual population and wealth grew by 10.5 per cent and
11.6 per cent, respectively. Thanks to liquidity support from
central banks, supportive domestic policies, and vaccination
drives, wealth expanded. India’s Nifty50 and BSE Sensex-30
indices were up 24 per cent and 22 per cent, respectively.
In Taiwan, the HNW individual population and wealth grew by 9.8
per cent and 10.8 per cent, respectively.
In Vietnam – a vigorous frontier/emerging market – the
population grew 7.6 per cent, and wealth was up 8.6 per cent in
2021 as the market’s Equal Weight Index VN30 rose 43 per cent,
beating the S&P 500 and pan-European Stoxx 600.
In Singapore, one of the world’s main wealth hubs, the 2021 HNW
individual population grew 4.2 per cent, with wealth up 5.4 per
cent. It witnessed a real GDP growth of 7.2 per cent in 2021
compared with a contraction of 5.4 per cent a year
earlier.
Events were tougher in China (wealth growth was 6.2 per cent) and
Malaysia (1.8 per cent) – a marked deceleration.
Some of the slower wealth growth was caused by China’s regulatory
crackdown on tech companies for data security and governance
disclosure, imposing fines and tighter regulations, reduced the
growth of gaming, education, and tech companies. Attempts to
control Chinese companies listed in the US, and ongoing trade
disputes, wiped out more than $1 trillion from the collective
market capitalisation of some of the world’s largest internet
groups, such as gaming and social media giant Tencent and China’s
e-commerce powerhouse Alibaba.
Hong Kong’s HNW individual wealth fell by 2.0 per cent in
2021.
While the Millionaires Next Door ($1-5 million) population (7.7
per cent) and wealth (7.8 per cent) grew the slowest, witnessing
an acceleration in population and wealth growth rates.
Conversely, the Mid-Tier Millionaire ($5-30 million) population
and wealth increased to 8.5 per cent and 8.4 per cent.
The report also indicates that the growth gap across wealth bands
is shrinking, indicating a more level playing field, due to
improved information access for investors and democratisation of
asset classes, the report said.
Diversity
The demographic of the HNW individual population is changing,
with more women, LGBTQ+ individuals, Millennials and Gen Zs now
seeking wealth management services.
“These emerging client segments each have their own values,
preferences, and requirements which many wealth management firms
are currently unequipped to provide for, resulting in many of
these HNWIs pivoting to more adaptive competitors or smaller
family offices,” the report said.
To give one case, Capgemini said women across all wealth brackets
are set to inherit 70 per cent of global wealth over the next two
generations. Some 39 per cent of Millennial HNW individuals
have switched providers in the past year because of a lack
of transparency. “They are frequently seeking new wealth managers
as they demand greater digital interaction, education and
convenience,” the report said.
The report also noted that thriving tech industries have created
a group of HNW individuals in the space – but only 27 per cent of
firms are going after these prospects.
Alternatives
Chiming with other reports, Capgemini noted themes such as the
rise of digital assets (tokens, smart contracts, blockchain,
cryptocurrencies) and sustainable/ESG investing.
Globally, some 55 per cent of HNW individuals say that it is
critical to invest in causes with a positive ESG impact, the
report said.
“The influx of new investment avenues such as sustainable
investing and digital assets is having a crucial impact on the
wealth management industry. Wealth management firms must
prioritise providing timely education around this trend to retain
their customers,” Nilesh Vaidya, global industry head, retail
banking and wealth management, Capgemini’s Financial Services
Strategic Business Unit, said.
The report also notes how firms have been creating the post of
chief customer officer role, increasing ways of
improving client experiences, using data and other resources
in the process.