Investment Strategies
Inflation Pressures Rise, But Not Great Cause For Concern - J Stern & Co
We talk to an investment firm set up to manage the wealth of a 200-year-old European family, and which has recently gone over the $1.0 billion AuM mark.
A family-owned wealth management house with a big value investing
focus predicts that inflation pressures will subside, but it is
staying fully invested and minimising cash exposures.
J Stern &
Co, the investment firm which oversees assets for the
200-year-old Stern dynasty, in May 2021 went above the $1.0
billion mark for assets under management. And as wealth managers
look forward beyond the pandemic, the drumbeat of concern about
inflation gets louder. But J Stern & Co does not appear overly
concerned.
“As the global economy opens up again, it is normal that there
are bottlenecks and shortages. Inflation is now spiking up,
albeit from a very low base. Are we entering a phase of
hyper-inflation? We believe that the short-term issues will
subside as people go back to work and global supply chains get
back to normal and that there are few indicators of sustained
pricing pressure,” the group’s founder, Jérôme Stern, told this
publication.
“Furthermore, given the massive amount of debt which the global
economy and the global financial system has had to shoulder, a
bit of inflation may not be necessarily a bad thing. As
multi-generational families such as the Stern family have
painfully learnt over centuries, the best way to protect wealth
against inflation is to remain invested and to minimise
unproductive cash holdings, which devalue in real terms,” he
said.
As reported a few days ago, a survey by UBS of high net worth
families and business owners finds inflation is a growing
concern. Governments have amassed heavy debts amid the pandemic,
and central bank bond buying/money printing, along with forces
such as supply disruptions, is driving up consumer
prices.
The J Stern & Co organisation comes to the inflation debate with
a long perspective. The Stern family accounts for around 25 per
cent of assets under management. The Stern banking dynasty traces
its origins to a wine merchant family which transformed its
business into a bank in 1805 on the counsel of their neighbours,
the Rothschild family, who had gone through that transition a few
years earlier (coincidentally, the same year that Swiss private
bank Pictet was founded). The family flourished, operating across
Europe. During the Second World War, the French branch of the
family represented by J Stern & Co fled to New York in 1940.
Whilst in New York, Maurice Stern created an investment strategy
of long-term value stock-picking. In 1946, he returned to Paris
to rebuild the banking business in Europe, including an asset
management business. After being run by two generations, the
business, called Banque Stern, was sold in 1988 to Swiss Bank
Corp (later known as UBS). The family created a family office in
Geneva for the Stern family. J Stern & C is the
continuation of that family office, having been brought to London
after the global financial crisis. J. Stern & Co became a
regulated entity in 2012 when it took on third-party clients.
Today, it has offices in London, Zurich and Malta. (One of the
benefits of its Malta presence is that it gives the group a
foothold in the European Union after the UK left it.)
“Our performance in recent months has been strong,” Jérôme Stern
said. “The firm’s investments were resilient during the COVID
pandemic, declining much less than markets and rebounding
strongly,” he said. “We were pleased that we were able to weather
the storm and deliver great value for our investors.”
A way to think of J Stern & Co, Jérôme Stern, said, is as a
“specialist investment manager with a family as its core backer.”
It means investors can take comfort from the fact that a large
and established family is bought into the strategy of the
business,” he said.
“The alignment of investors is key and behind a lot of the
success we have had. Private clients have the same exposures as
our family,” he said.
A test of performance in action is the World Stars Global Equity
UCITS fund, which is now more than two years old. It holds $170
million of assets and has outperformed markets, in particular
being back to outperforming markets after the value/growth
rotation that took place earlier in 2021.
“Our approach is quality and value for the long term. Volatility
and sector rotation are opportunities for long-term investors and
we were able to buy value last year and growth this year,” Jérôme
Stern said.
“As we look forward to the second half of this year and next
year, the elements for a strong recovery from the pandemic are in
place, demand is strong and bottlenecks in labour, inputs and raw
material will be overcome as supply increases. There will clearly
be short-term spikes in inflation, there will be difficult
comparisons after the strong growth we will see this year, and
there is likely to be market volatility," he said.
“We invest only in quality companies that have strong and
sustainable market positions, in good and growing industries,
with strong managements and balance sheets so strong as to
weather any kind of adversity. The pandemic has shown us how
important our definition of quality is,” he said.
“Value for us is buying companies at prices that allow us to
compound at 8 to 10 per cent or more, in some cases much more,
per annum. We have a long-term holding period and trade very
rarely. We look at investments over five, 10 and 25 years. That
is why turnover in the portfolio is low. We usually trade two to
three stocks per year in any given portfolio. Some of the stocks
we have in portfolios go back to the 1960s,” Jérôme Stern added.