Investment Strategies
How The Pandemic Kick-started The Japanese Digital Revolution
In general terms, the pandemic accelerated the digitalisation of Japanese industries, although the country lags some peers in boosting efficiency with IT. Potential is high, which is why investors should take a look, the author of this guest article says.
As with other economies, Japan has also been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. A common factor is that lockdowns and other restrictions have acted as a catalyst for rapid technological change accelerating the use of digital tools – a trend which had been gaining ground even before the crisis. Wealth managers have also been caught up in this process.
Japan is famously a home to robotics and, in some respects, is a global leader in related fields. How has the pandemic affected this sector and what are the implications for investments? To consider these questions is Mr Hiroyasu Sato, portfolio manager of the Japan Growth Opportunities Strategy, SuMi TRUST. The editors are pleased to share these views. The customary editorial disclaimers apply. Email tom.burroughes@wealthbriefing.com
In the wake of COVID-19, Japan’s overdue digital revolution might
just be about to take off. One of the big legacies of the
pandemic for Japan will be the way it has changed attitudes about
digitalisation and the modernisation of legacy IT systems.
Shockingly, for a country that was perceived abroad as
technologically cutting edge before the virus struck,
Japan’s digital infrastructure may have been as much as 20 years
behind that of the US, the UK and parts of Europe, with most
government communications still being carried out by fax.
Private industry was no better.
A number of Japan’s failings during the pandemic were directly
linked to inadequate IT infrastructure, online booking systems
and poor management of online data. In the wake of COVID-19,
companies and government departments realise that urgent reform
is needed. Japan has advanced hardware in many of its industries
but companies often lack the right mindset to maximise
efficiencies from software.
The Kishida administration, which is following in the footsteps
of the previous government of PM Sugaand, has made it a big
priority to change this. PM Kishida launched its digital agency
in 2021, a government taskforce with a mission to centralise
government data, oversee digitisation of documents, overhaul old
regulations that mandate a paper trail and encourage businesses,
large and small, to take digitalisation seriously. This big push
for digitalisation in Japan provides strong opportunities for
investors, but there are also potential risks.
Opportunities
Should the digitalisation drive succeed, the gains could be
enormous. Opportunities for investors come through companies
which are set to increase productivity and revenue by introducing
overdue digital reforms, as well as those businesses which
also provide their own IT systems and software. Sectors
where a lot of digital progress could be made include healthcare,
where nurses’ reports are still handwritten, real estate, where
regulations still tend to assume that all transactions are
face-to-face, and the education sector, where paperwork is
abundant.
Three companies which are well placed to exploit this trend are
SRE Holdings, Infomart and Money forward. SRE Holdings is a
“property tech” company providing digital and AI solutions to the
real estate market, particularly to brokerages, which in Japan
tend to be small companies operating in a fairly old fashioned
way. Currently a number of regulations in the real estate sector
in the country prevent modernisation through digital solutions
and AI. The Kishida administration is liable to roll these back
and SRE is extremely well placed to take advantage of this when
it happens.
Informart is in the restaurant business and specialises in
digitalising the purchasing process for restaurants. In Japan
many restaurants are small and run by individuals or small
families with paper or fax being the main means of communication
with suppliers, banks and government agencies. Informart is
pioneering an industry-wide digital slip to allow restaurants to
handle purchases and payments more efficiently, provide and
receive allergy information and contribute to COVID-19 track and
tracing measures.
Money Forward specialises in cloud-based accounting software for
individuals and SME owners. Traditionally Japanese SMEs made
little effort to digitalise accounting procedures, a factor which
contributes to low productivity. As the pandemic struck, moving
these functions online became a necessity because employees could
not always be in the office to carry them out in the old manner.
Money Forward seized the business opportunity and now has over
180,000 clients. It has also expanded its business areas from
accounting and finance to human resources through to M&A
activities. The company has long-term growth potential.
As well as thinking about companies well placed to benefit from
Japan’s shift to digitalisation, investors can also have some
confidence that the gains will have a broad impact across listed
Japanese companies and the Japanese economy: better and more
extensive use of IT is set to lead to real productivity
gains.
Japan’s conversion to digitalisation is part of a bigger trend of
cultural change for Japanese companies. Increasingly we are
seeing companies introduce a more flexible personnel system in
which a company focuses on results rather than age and seniority.
Business are also showing greater willingness to think
holistically and introduce company-wide procedures and systems
whereas traditionally Japanese management has been quite bottom
up.
Risks
However, it is not all smooth sailing. The biggest risk for
investors is that the government’s digital agency fails in its
mission. It has a big task ahead of it. Japan’s opposition to
digitalisation is rooted in the management structure of Japanese
companies. Essentially large-scale digitalisation, which often
comes about in a top-down way elsewhere, isn’t pushed by senior
management in Japan, which tends to avoid large-scale changes
without very active consent from middle management.
A second issue investors need to be aware of is the possibility
of domestic Japanese digital service providers being pushed out
by foreign competition. American and European software and
digital system providers have a head start over their Japanese
equivalents, because digitalisation is already more widespread in
their countries, potentially giving them advantages of scale and
experience in some cases. This is more of a concern if the
software and digital service providers are working for large
Japanese companies, the mid-sized and small Japanese companies
are more likely to adhere to domestic suppliers.
Overall COVID-19 has acted as a catalyst in the digitalisation of
Japan. The country may still be behind its peers among the
developed nations when it comes to boosting efficiency through
the use of IT and software but big changes are now imminent.
Although there are uncertainties, now is a good time to take a
closer look at the Japanese digital and software space to take
advantage of the opportunities there.