Strategy
Alliance Trust Warns Of Scottish Independence
In anticipation of Scotland gaining independence from the UK in September's referendum, Alliance Trust is taking steps to build a presence in England, adding to the growing business concerns over the looming vote.
In anticipation of Scotland gaining independence from the UK in
September's referendum, Alliance Trust is
taking steps to build a presence in England, adding to the
growing business concerns over the looming vote.
Dundee-based Alliance Trust said in its annual statement for 2013
that due to the uncertainty surrounding the referendum on
Scottish independence in September, it was creating companies in
England as a precautionary move.
"We have always been and continue to remain focused on the
service we provide to all our shareholders and customers across
the UK and beyond. 2014 is an important year for Scotland. The
referendum in September is creating uncertainty for our customers
and our business, which we have a responsibility to address,"
said Katherine Garrett-Cox, chief executive of Alliance
Trust.
"Regardless of the outcome it is critical that we are able to
provide continuity of service and protection for their
investments and savings. To give them full confidence, we have
started work to establish additional companies registered in
England, in order to provide operational flexibility and to
complement our existing business in Scotland," said
Garrett-Cox.
Earlier this month, Standard Life warned that it might have to
relocate significant operations and assets outside of the country
if Scotland gains independence, and Royal Bank of Scotland has
also said a yes vote could damage its credit rating.
Despite the Scottish Nationalist Party reassuring voters on the
impact of breaking away from Britain, concerns remain regarding
financial regulation, currency, tax and membership of the
European Union.
In February, Jose Manuel Barroso, president of the European
Commission, said that it would be "difficult, if not impossible"
for an independent Scotland to get the necessary approval from
member states to join the EU.
The three main UK political parties have also said that Scotland
would be unable to keep the pound in the wake of independence.
Scotland would also be forced to implement its own financial and
regulatory laws, creating further red-tape for financial
firms.
Uncertainty
According to Citi Research, a division of Citigroup Global
Markets, with the latest polls showing 35 per cent in favour of
independence and 53 per cent against, Scottish independence seems
highly unlikely.
Citi also highlighted a number of concerns surrounding
independence including the recent drop in oil revenues, the
fiscal risks associated with its banking system and the
uncertainty over currency and monetary policy.
"With the recent drop in oil revenues Scotland’s fiscal deficit
is now significantly above UK levels. We estimate that Scotland’s
fiscal deficit (including a geographic share of oil and gas tax
revenues) has risen from 5 per cent of GDP in 2011/2012 to about
7.9 per cent of GDP in 2012/13 and about 8.3 per cent of GDP in
2013/2014. In addition, Scotland’s large banking system, with
bank assets of more than 1000 per cent of Scotland’s annual GDP,
creates additional fiscal risks, and might be too big to save for
Scotland alone should it ever come to that," Citi said.
"There is also great uncertainty over the currency and monetary
policy for an independent Scotland. The UK government has ruled
out the Scottish government’s preferred option of a monetary
union, and possible alternatives all have sizeable costs and
risks attached," Citi added.
Annual statement
Alliance Trust Investments, the fund management business and
subsidiary of Alliance Trust, reported an increase in assets
under management of 16 per cent to £2.2 billion ($3.68 billion)
for 2013, up from £1.9 billion in 2012.
In the annual statement from the parent company, Alliance Trust
Investments posted an increase in net revenue of 142 per cent to
£9.2 million, up from 3.8 per cent the previous year.
Despite an increase in assets under administration, the fund
management business recorded an operating loss of £4.2
million.
Last year, Alliance Trust Investments entered a deal with Aviva
Investors to engage with a team of specialist sustainable and
responsible investment managers and acquired around £1.2 billion
of third party assets.
"This year we have seen the positive impact of this transaction
with an improved financial performance and increased assets under
management. We are showing an operating loss for the year of £4.2
million compared to £6.6 million the previous year," the firm
said.
Meanwhile, the parent company saw net assets increase 15.9 per
cent to £2.9 million for 2013, up from £2.5 million in 2012,
while net asset value total return was 18.4 per cent.
“After five years of hard work and significant change at Alliance
Trust, this year we have started to reap the rewards of that
change. The equity portfolio generated a gross return of over 21
per cent and Alliance Trust Savings is now profitable on an
ongoing basis and will continue to benefit from changes brought
about by the Retail Distribution Review. Moreover, Alliance Trust
Investments has established itself as a leader in the sustainable
investment sector," said Garrett-Cox.
"As a whole, the business has delivered capital growth and a
significantly increased level of income and I am confident that
all parts of the business are now better placed to be able to
compete effectively in their respective markets and add long-term
value to the group," she added.