Strategy
"Stay Away From Crypto-Currencies," Julius Baer Tells Investors

The statement came in the same week that the price of bitcoin, ethereum and litecoin all hit record highs.
Swiss private bank Julius Baer has told
investors to “stay away from bitcoin” and crypto-currencies, as
they pose an “economic risk of crippling deflation” and are
underpinned by “immature technologies”.
“As an investor, stay away from crypto,” the firm said in a
statement posted on its website. “We are negative on bitcoin and
other currently existing permissionless crypto-currencies due to
regulatory, technological and economic risks. We believe,
counter-intuitively, that blockchain-based ‘coins’ are actually
extremely deficient currencies, as their terminal coin supply and
velocity are both capped, making them highly deflationary if
widespread adoption occurs.”
The statement came in the same week that the price of bitcoin,
ethereum and litecoin all hit record highs. It also followed the
launch of bitcoin futures on an exchange operated by Cboe Group,
while its larger rival CME Group is expected to list its own
version of bitcoin futures next week.
But for Julius Baer, “bitcoin and crypto-currencies are immature
technologies which face severe technological (e.g.
cybersecurity), governance (e.g. the power of ‘miners’ on
blockchain networks) and regulatory hurdles.
“The latter is especially pronounced: we do not expect that
sovereigns will long close an eye to a new technology which
potentially harms retail and institutional investors while
providing a safe haven to money laundering, tax evasion and
organised crime.”
Sceptics of bitcoin have said that mindless speculation is
fuelling its rapid price surges, and that the first ever
crypto-currency is showing all the signs of a bubble about to
burst.
For example, Jamie Dimon, JP Morgan’s chief executive, touted
bitcoin as a “fraud” that would “likely blow up” several months
ago.
On the other hand, some analysts have forecasted prices as high
as $100,000 per bitcoin in less than a decade. Given that the
current market cap of crypto-currencies is hovering above half a
trillion dollars eclipsing many of the world’s largest companies
and banks, it could be economically fatal if bitcoin’s price were
to rocket to such levels.
However, blockchain, the technology underpinning crypto-currency
transactions, is revolutionary, Julius Baer has said, but mass
hysteria around digital coins could stifle its growth.
“With all that said, blockchain and cryptocurrencies are an
amazing technological development, combining advances in
cryptography and network theory to sustain an extraordinary
monetary experiment,” the bank said. “We believe the hype right
now is very detrimental to the long-term survival of the
technology, and expect to know more about beneficial use cases
once the dust has settled.”
A blockchain is a virtual distributed ledger of transactions
shared peer-to-peer that can record ownership across a public
network of computers rendered tamper-proof by advanced
cryptography.
The technology is causing a stir within the financial services
sector as its supporters believe it could reduce hidden expenses
in the financial system by ousting inefficiencies across areas
such as payments, syndicated loans and equity clearing.
While big banks have generally steered clear of bitcoin and
crypto-currencies – with the exception of a few, such as Goldman
Sachs – they have spent millions of dollars investing in
blockchain-related ventures.