Print this article
Tokyo's Property Market Comes Back In From The Cold - Major Asia-Pacific Survey
Tom Burroughes
10 December 2013
Tokyo’s property market will
remain the “investment magnet” while Shanghai,
Jakarta, Manila
and Sydney will also feature as attractions into 2014. Hong Kong’s standing has waned due to
government efforts to curb prices, according to a report by
PricewaterhouseCoopers and the Urban Land Institute. The report, called Emerging
Trends in Real Estate Asia Pacific 2014, says the fundamentals of the real
estate market will remain strong next year across the region, arguing that
unlike some other assets, property has been broadly unaffected by moves by the
US Federal Reserve to taper, or reduce, monetary stimuli. In a ranking of city investment prospects for 2014, with 23
cities in total, Tokyo is first, followed by Shanghai, Jakarta, Manila, Sydney,
Guangzhou, Singapore, Beijing, Osaka and Shenzhen. Hong
Kong is ranked at 18th. “While Asia’s robust market has been accompanied by higher
prices and lower yields for core products, investors have reacted not by
pulling away from real estate in Asia, but by finding new ways to make the
numbers work, including a focus on specialised property types such as senior
care or logistics, and on opportunities in emerging markets,” said ULI North
Asia chairman Raymond Chow. “We do expect some headwinds as rising interest rates
compress yields further, but overall, we are very encouraged by the optimistic
view reflected in the report,” he said. “If we look at new ways to enhance returns, we can see
investors are trying to enter at the development level and an increasing number
of co-invested development deals are now being struck,” said K K So, the Asia
Pacific real estate tax leader at PwC Hong Kong. “Several large institutional players that have opened
offices in Asia in order to gain access to
direct deals have opted to co-invest in development sites as a means of
securing core assets that would otherwise be unavailable or be too expensive.
This is something of a departure from normal practice at institutional funds,
but is being driven mainly by necessity. Besides, we also see a trend towards
lower opportunistic returns and investors are opting for longer investment
windows,” he said. Hong Kong Hong Kong’s ranking has fallen in the investment prospect
rankings in the years since 2011, as steep rises in home prices and some of
Asia’s most compressed cap rates have stifled interest in both residential and
commercial property markets, the report said of the jurisdiction. International funds have mostly bypassed Hong Kong recently
for a number of reasons, such as the government’s cooling measures (doubling of
stamp duty on property deals; the city is also seen as highly sensitive to
changes in US Fed interest rates because of the link between the dollar and
Hong Kong dollar. The report is based on views of over 250 property market professionals,
such as investors, developers and property firms. “The generally positive outlook for many markets throughout
the Asia Pacific region is highlighted by the re-emergence of Japan (after a
five-year absence from the top rankings) as a favoured market for investment
and development. The country is one of the largest beneficiaries of capital
flows from other regions within Asia,” the
report said. “Its
increasing popularity is attributed to the government’s massive economic
stimulus plan, which has resulted in a flurry of property purchases in
anticipation of rapidly rising prices. In addition to Tokyo,
secondary cities in Japan,
including Osaka, Fukuoka
and Sapporo are
gaining appeal among investors,” it said.