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HSBC Reveals Monthly Survey On South African Economy
Sandra Kilhof
7 November 2013
has launched a Purchasing Managers’ Index for South Africa in
order to cover the country’s economy as the firm looks to broaden its outlook
on emerging markets. In its first month of publicity, the PMI survey, which
covers the manufacturing, services, construction, mining and retail sectors,
shows an improvement in operating conditions in the country during October,
having risen to 51.5 last month, from 49.8 in September. The survey, which is produced by Markit on behalf of HSBC,
has been conducted in South
Africa since July 2011. This is the first
time it has been made publicly available and will be published monthly from now
on. “The South Africa PMI will be among the first indicators of
local economic conditions, helping inform financial markets, economists, analysts
and local policymakers,” said Andrew Dell, chief executive of HSBC Africa. The rise to 51.5 in October signalled the strongest
improvement in operating conditions in 2013 so far, after a contraction in
September. New orders rose, with stronger consumer confidence contributing to
the rise in new business. However, respondents also reported that unfavourable
exchange rates and difficulties in European markets led to a decline in export
sales. “The HSBC South Africa PMI suggests an improvement in
private sector conditions in October as the economy rebounded from a
strike-affected September. A robust pick-up in new orders and a small rise in
output explain most of the improvement while employment levels expanded
marginally in line with positive but weak growth,” said David Faulkner,
economist for South Africa
and sub-Saharan Africa at HSBC. The survey is based on data compiled from a monthly
questionnaire sent to purchasing managers in around 400 private sector
companies. A reading above 50 suggests an improvement in business conditions on
the previous month, while a reading below 50 signals deterioration. According to HSBC, the rebalancing of the global economy
from the developed world to emerging markets will continue, as emerging markets
“become increasingly important in terms of global trade and capital flows”. As
such the firm currently has 17 PMI surveys across emerging markets.