Print this article
Equities Deliver High Investor Returns - Lloyds
Sandra Kilhof
29 July 2013
The global markets are
beginning to reflect the positive economic news coming out of US and central
banks, monetary policy. With an average return increase of 2.8 per cent for nine
key asset classes, puts the positive
developments down to recent economic improvements in the US: “Gains have been driven by improving global
economic growth, particularly in the US, and expansionary monetary
policies from the main developed market central banks,” said Nitesh Patel, economist at
Lloyds TSB Private Banking. “By contrast, precious metals such as silver and
gold have fallen sharply in price, in large part due to a decline in demand and
fears of European governments reducing their gold holdings to cover the
bailouts,” Patel added, referring to the drop in gold and silver prices which
has made precious metals the worst performer in the past 12 months. Having been
the best performer three times since 2008, precious metals have significantly
underperformed against other assets classes, with prices falling by 20.9 per
cent in total. Conversely,
the housing market is improving significantly, with returns from UK residential
properties growing by 7.8 per cent due to average house prices rising. Commercial
property in the UK
resulted in a lower, but still positive return, with the IPD Index (which
measures total returns on commercial properties) at its highest level since
October 2007. Other
good investments, include natural gas and cotton, which both ranked as the top
performing commodities as prices rose by 30.1 per cent and 18.3 per cent
respectively. Of the worst performing commodities, increased production in the
past year has contributed to coffee prices falling by 30 per cent – the largest
decline among the commodities in the Lloyds review, which also revealed losses
for investments in sugar and wheat. Lastly, international investments are proving to be
strong bets as international bonds outperformed UK bonds, by more than one per cent.
This is in part based on investors taking an upbeat stance after the US overcame the
threat of the fiscal cliff. Meanwhile, returns on UK
bonds suffered from weak growth prospects for the UK economy as well as rising
inflation for much of the first half of 2013. Looking forward, Patel
explained that “prospects for asset prices for the rest of the year will
critically depend on monetary policy developments, the impact of fiscal
austerity measures in Europe and the UK, and the extent to which the Chinese
economy slows down." The Lloyds survey tracks nine asset classes, including UK shares, international shares, UK bonds,
international bonds, cash, commercial property, residential property, commodities
and precious metals, from June 2012 to end of June 2013. Lloyds
TSB Private Banking is part of the Lloyds Banking Group and as of 31 March
2012, the unit had £7.2 billion ($11.1 billion) in assets under management.