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Myanmar Needs To Boost Growth Before Demographic Trends Switch - OECD Report
Tom Burroughes
19 July 2013
Myanmar, which for years has been hit by political conflict,
has been emerging from the economic shadows, encouraging banks to enter the
market in recent months. But as the population starts to age, the country needs
to adopt pro-growth policies, a new report says. “Myanmar
faces a crucial few years to come to ignite economic growth and embark on a
higher, more sustainable and more equitable development trajectory. The
challenge is even more important as the country’s population will start ageing
in 2017,” according to a review launched by UNESCAP and the Organisation for
Economic Co-operation and Development. The report, called the Multi-dimensional Review of Myanmar: Initial
Assessment, was launched at an event in Yangon
that was supported the Hanns Seidel Foundation. “Myanmar
is at a crossroad: it has to capitalise on its numerous assets and seize the
momentum for development. The demographic dividend needs to be reaped now and
the potential of the economy lifted by productivity-enhancing reforms ",
said OECD Development Centre director Mario Pezzini. “Otherwise, Myanmar risks
getting old before the incomes and living standards of its people can
significantly improve,” he said. The report comes at a time when the country, formerly known
as Burma, has been emerging
from a long period as an economic backwater (although at one stage, during the
days of the British Empire before the Second
World War, it was a relatively prosperous colony). Its improved economic
prospects have lured a number of banks to do deals or set up: Bank of
Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, the Japanese bank, earlier this year signed a memorandum
of understanding with Myanmar-based CB Bank to establish a business alliance. Also
in January, Standard Chartered Bank was granted a licence to re-open its
representative office in Yangon. In June, the
Australian and New Zealand Banking Group formalised the opening of its
representative branch in the Republic of the Union of Myanmar. A survey
published late last year by Control Risks, the business consultancy, said direct
investors are increasingly drawn to markets such as Myanmar in the search for untapped
potential. The OECD/ UNESCAP report said, in a cautionary note, that “recent
economic growth in Myanmar
has been relatively low for its level of income. The OECD’s medium-term growth
forecasts indicate that without structural change the economy can grow at an
average of 6.3 per cent over 2013-17, somewhat below the government’s 7.7 per
cent target for 2013-2015”.