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European Equities: The Greatest Investment Opportunities In 10 Years - RWC
Sally Ling
31 January 2013
There have been so many dislocations the crisis-hit eurozone in recent years that equities in the region offer long/short hedge funds some of the largest investment opportunities in a decade, according to the
manager of the RWC Europe Absolute Alpha Fund, Ajay Gambhir. In a statement on the
outlook for his fund in 2013, Gambhir says he is optimistic about this asset
for two reasons. First, the disruptions in European equities have been so
severe that the opportunity for long/short investing between sectors and stocks
is greater than it has been for almost 10 years. Secondly, the gap in value
between European equities and European corporate credit opens up the
opportunity for money to rotate into European stocks, with the greatest benefit
to accrue to higher yielding European stocks.
“Europe is looking increasingly attractive;
inflation expectations have stabilised and equities are cheaper than usual
compared to the US. The ECB's bond-buying plan means they are ready to stand
behind the euro, reducing the tail risk. Credit investors having been moving up
the risk curve so, logically, the next large opportunity is for money to rotate
from credit into equities, given the large valuation gap,” Gambhir said. Recent survey evidence suggests investors remain wary about eurozone equities and the associated economy. According to the Bank of America Merrill Lynch poll of global fund managers in January, issued earlier this month, investors see fewer risks in the eurozone from some quarters, such as Italy, but are also concerned about other countries, such as France and Spain. Although global growth expectations saw a jump in January, European
expectations did not follow suit. While a net 8 per cent of panellists
expect a stronger European economy this year, almost half (48 per cent)
still see the risk of recession as a serious threat, the BoA Merrill Lynch poll showed.