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Singapore To Overtake Switzerland In Wealth Centre Rankings By 2020
Tom Burroughes
29 October 2012
Singapore
will overtake Switzerland to become the world’s biggest offshore wealth
centre by 2020, according to research on global financial trends from WealthInsight. The global private banking industry has total assets under management
of $19.3 trillion, of which $8.3 trillion – or 42 per cent – is
offshore and Switzerland currently holds $2.8 trillion of cash, the
organisation says. By 2016, however, Switzerland’s figure is predicted
to drop below $2.0 billion. The Alpine state’s historical bank secrecy laws have come under
relentless international assault from governments trying to halt an
exodus of tax revenues. Firms such as UBS and Julius Baer, for example,
no longer provide offshore banking to the US; Switzerland has also inked
a number of bilateral agreements with nations over tax. The impact on
Switzerland from any shift in its status will be significant: more than
80 per cent of funds held in the country are for foreign clients. Switzerland holds 14.5 per cent of the global wealth industry’s AuM,
second only to the US; offshore wealth - $2.1 trillion - makes up the
vast majority of this money. Switzerland holds 34 per cent of all
offshore wealth, making it the single largest such jurisdiction. Among other figures in the report, it notes that the UK and Channel
Islands is the second largest offshore player, with $1.8 trillion of
assets (as at the end of 2011). Local UK private clients’ AuM stood at
$780 billion. The remaining $1.02 trillion is sourced from foreign
clients; most of this is held in the Channel Islands. In third place is the Caribbean and Panama ($800 billion), followed
by Singapore ($550 billion); Luxembourg ($350 billion); Hong Kong ($250
billion); and “other offshore” ($1.6 trillion). WealthInsight argues that offshore banking “will come under
increasing pressure as stricter operational procedures are introduced by
governments in Europe and North America”. The report said that in many growth markets, investors prefer, or are
forced, to invest offshore, driven by lack of reputable or talented
local managers as well as by a need to spread risks. The report is bullish on Singapore: “Indeed, Singapore has the
highest density of HNW individuals in the world and has become one of
the world’s leading offshore wealth centres: offshore assets account for
80 per cent of the country’s total managed asset base.” Hong Kong As far as the former UK colony, now part of China, is concerned, Hong
Kong’s private banking sector rose by 32 per cent in 2010, increasing
AuM to $250 billion, 15 per cent above the pre-crisis level, with much
growth driven by China. However, China’s private banking AuM accounted for only 1 per cent of
total Chinese HNWI wealth in 2011, below the worldwide average of 29
per cent. More than 50,000 Chinese millionaires are looking to emigrate
every year, many of them to Hong Kong.