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Singapore Shrugs Off Stamp Duty Hike As Prices Rise
Tara Loader Wilkinson
15 May 2012
Singapore's real estate market has proved that there is still plenty of appetite for prime property, after prices for the best bricks and mortar increased in the first quarter of this year, undeterred by the stamp duty hike. In Singapore the new 10 per cent stamp
duty for foreign buyers, which was introduced in December 2011, dented demand
but not prices, which rose 1.9 per cent, according to Nicholas Holt, Knight Frank’s Asia-Pacific Research
Director. Holt said: “Prices not only held up but actually increased
slightly at the very top end of the Singapore market in Q1 2012. This was not
only due to fairly resilient domestic demand, but also due to wealthy Chinese,
Indonesian and Indian buyers who continued to buy in this segment of the market
undeterred by the surtax.” A similar story was seen in London in the first quarter of
2012. In the UK capital both prices and applicant numbers increased despite the stamp
duty rise to 7 per cent for individuals buying homes over £2 million ($3.2 million), according to Knight Frank data. Although strong performance was seen in traditional safe havens like London, Singapore and North America, there was also demand for property bargains in undervalued areas. Nairobi prime property soared 24 per cent in the last 12 months to March 2012, and Jakarta also achieved double digit growth, according to the London-headquartered agent in its quarterly index if key global cities. Prices in Dubai (up 4 per cent) rose the
most in the last 3 months Sluggish global performance But overall, prices of prime property in the last quarter fell slightly by 0.4 per cent, representing the index's first quarterly fall since the depths of
the global recession. Overall, the index rose 1.4 per cent in
the 12 months to March 2012. Although a milestone, the index’s
negative quarterly growth is not surprising, said the agent. Quarterly price growth has been
below 2 per cent since Q1 2010 and it averaged only 0.6 per cent in 2011. The first three months of 2012
brought with it little new momentum. The Eurozone’s debt debacle remained at
the forefront of the global economic agenda, several critical elections were on
the horizon (Russia, France, Greece) and Asia’s highly-effective cooling
measures showed no sign of being relaxed. Against this backdrop some luxury
buyers took to the side-lines to observe their market’s trajectory. "In our view the overall index will
remain subdued in 2012, fluctuating between marginal price falls and rises (with
London, Moscow, Jakarta, Nairobi and Singapore expected to be the strongest
performers) but it seems unlikely we are on the cusp of a new deflationary
cycle in luxury global house prices," said the agent. "The safe-haven argument still
resonates," said Knight Frank in the report. "Capital flight will continue to focus on cities with low political
risk, transparent legal systems, good security and ideally those with an
HNWI-friendly tax regime."