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Show More Love To Russia - Pictet
Ravi Seetanna
19 May 2011
Russian equities
have suffered as a result of exaggerated international perceptions of the
country’s political and governance risks and represent good value, say Hugo
Bain and Peter Jarvis, managers of the Pictet Russian Equities Fund. “The
reality is that Russia
is no worse or better than other emerging economies. Indeed, Russia has a better functioning democracy than
most emerging Asian economies,” said Jarvis, speaking at a seminar in London. However, measures
such as the price-to-earnings ratio and enterprise value gauge Russia as one of the cheapest
markets in the global emerging market sector. Russia’s benchmark RTS Index is
currently 20 per cent lower than what it was in May 2008, when it reached its
peak. While some of the
world’s leading economies are steeped in government and household debt, Russia manages
to keep these to a minimum. This is due to the revenues the Russian government
receives from taxation of oil and gas, which is enough to fully subsidise its
entire spending. This in turn allows for lower income taxes in Russia, the
Pictet managers said. These economic
conditions currently present investment opportunities in the region, as many
Russian companies continue to trade at much lower levels than what they would
do if they were based in developed countries, due to this overblown perception
of risk according to Bain and Jarvis. Bain said: “It is true that outside
perceptions of Russia
are not helped by the legacy of Yukos. Investors believe that corruption has
not improved and has probably worsened.” (He was referring to the Yukos Oil
Company which, until 2003, was controlled by Russian oligarch Mikhail
Khodorkovsky and a number of other prominent Russian businessmen. After Yukos
was bankrupted, Khodorkovsky was convicted and sent to prison. The affair
raised questions about the security of investments in the country.) President
Medvedev has moved to break down these psychological barriers to investment in Russia.
“He has set a 1 July deadline for Prime Minister Vladimir Putin to oust
ministers from the boards of large public companies, renowned for their poor
governance and lack of transparency. We hope that this recognition will improve
the global standing of companies and promote better governance,” said Bain. The
two investment managers agreed that investing in Russia requires
a constructive attitude on commodities. While Russia harbours
a great proportion of the world’s commodity reserves, forthcoming taxation
reforms will aim to stimulate investment in other economic areas as Russia attempts
to diversify its economy, which will allow managers such as Bain and Jarvis to
diversify their portfolio without having to look outside of the country. Bain summarises the reasoning behind Pictet’s
faith in this emerging market and speculates on its future: “Russia is a
secular growth story thanks to low penetration, large population and a lack of
excess debt. It also has a large internal market. Russia
has the largest population in Europe and is
already the largest for most consumer goods. Regarding commodities, the
eventual return to global growth means that we are likely to return to a period
of limited availability and high prices. Russian infrastructure investment will
be a key focus, and further investment remains an option for the government if
further stimulus spending is required.” “While we recognise the risks associated with doing
business in the region, these are somewhat exaggerated in our view. As
it is difficult to time the Russian market, investors should treat the market
as a highly attractive long-term investment opportunity,” Bain added. As at 31 March
2011, Pictet Asset Management had €294.6 billion (around $419.8 billion), in
assets under management and custody.