Technology
Towards Optimal AI-based Wealth Management - Study
This article explores the various ways that AI technology is changing the face of wealth management in the UK and much of the world.
One important theme in global wealth management is how banks and other institutions are developing use of Artificial Intelligence (AI), automation and machine learning. The volume of data is a big issue, as is the need to be on the alert for regulatory red flags, market disturbances and changed client requirements. Debate continues on whether the rise of AI threatens to put people out of a job or instead makes their work more effective, even more pleasant. We continue to track this trend and invite readers to comment with their thoughts.
This news service republishes the following white paper, with
permission from Level E Research Limited. The author is Dr Sonia
Schulenburg, CEO of Edinburgh-based Level E Research.
Dr Schulenburg holds a PhD in Artificial Intelligence from the
University of Edinburgh and a BEng in Computer Engineering (summa
cum laude; 1st Class Honours) from the ITAM in Mexico City, a
Professional Certificate in accounting from the University of
California, San Diego and a postgraduate degree in Corporate
Strategy and Finance from Edinburgh Napier University, where she
graduated with distinction in both.
This news service has undertaken its
own research work into how Artificial Intelligence affects
wealth management, such as here in 2017. Clearly, the pandemic
has accelerated use of this technology in certain respects
although it is not the only driver.
The usual disclaimers apply to content sent from external
providers; to respond, email tom.burroughes@wealthbriefing.com
and jackie.bennion@clearviewpublishing.com
Traditional wealth management
For nearly a century the core objective of wealth management has
been to help clients plan for their financial future to attain
peace of mind, while keeping up with dynamically changing
markets. The primary role of a wealth management financial
advisor is to use a diligent consulting process to know and
understand the client’s needs, expectations and risk tolerance
given their current situation, and then construct a personalised
investment strategy by using a broad range of financial products
and services.
Once the original investment plan is drafted, reviewed and
executed, the manager meets with the client in order to present
results, update goals and ultimately, rebalance the financial
portfolio. Moreover, the presence of a continuous integration
process evaluates new services and the manager promotes them in
order to offer a lifetime solution.
Traditionally, small or large scale wealth management firms make
use of financial consultants or advisors to get in touch with
clients, construct portfolios (asset allocation). Then, based on
mutual agreement, they will proceed to place orders in previously
identified markets via third-party brokers. Accounting for this
life cycle entails assets under management fees, commissions on
the investment products they sell, broker and operating fees,
variable premiums on net returns, etc. In fact, a survey [1]
found that the median advisory fee of assets under management is
1 per cent for up to $1 million, but the all-in cost of a highly
efficient advisor averages at 1.65 per cent.
Specifically, for the asset allocation process, many advisors
will offer securities that are ‘hot’, in great demand or passive
ETFs which are familiar to them. The sole consideration of assets
because they are popular in the news or recommended by peers or
brokers is not enough in the changing and revolutionised market.
The only true advantage we can rely on is to analyse and trust
the data.
In the following sections we will present current challenges in
wealth management and analyse some examples of AI used in the
financial industry.
Upcoming challenges
As suggested in [2, 3, 4], the foreseeable future imposes a new
set of challenges for the wealth management industry. One of the
main concerns is the incremental addition of a new generation
with fresh and different investment ideals while keeping the
trust of their existing HNW investors. The target audience is
expanding, and there should be a place to accommodate everyone in
this new tech-based economy.
We strongly believe that the tech-savvy younger generations
demand comprehensive and goal-based personalised wealth offerings
and wealth management must evolve and use emerging AI-based
approaches such as those in healthcare diagnostics, precision
medicine/personalised medicine.
Therefore, the times of change have arrived and we should address
the following upcoming needs:
1. The combination of human, virtual and automated advice
represents an area of opportunity not effectively addressed by
current firms [2]. The adoption of new generational sectors,
especially under the age of 60 (including Gen X, Millennials and
Gen Z) faces truly different needs than Baby Boomers. For
example, most of the new generations (85 per cent, 91 per cent
and 97 per cent respectively) require banking as well as
insurance products (compared with 47 per cent of Baby
Boomers);
2. The clearest shifting of generational interest is the adoption
of lifestyle preferences and concerns about the environment. For
example, the adoption of ESG based portfolios [4];
3. There is a global tendency to avoid generic advice. HNWI’s
want more personalised advice;
4. Cultural differences embracing technology and trust rather
than traditional insider advice imply exhaustive quantitative
analysis at the time of portfolio selection;
5. The transfer of wealth to new generations will inevitably move
capital from traditional obscure funds, to more on-demand
internet platforms with instant access (“wealth is about to
change hands”);
6. Old school financial advisors are ageing and, while they will
not disappear, a big demographic change in the finance industry
is on the way. In fact, advisors are ageing and leaving the
industry faster than firms are replacing them [5]. Therefore, the
new generation of advisors will also demand innovative
technological solutions; and
7. The pressure on maintaining competitive returns given
increasing trading fees and regulatory requirements [1].
The AI impact
As shown in the research conducted by Accenture [6], there is
approximately $78 trillion of assets ready to be captured by
wealth managers (due to the global expansion of the middle class
and wealth created by a new generation of entrepreneurs, e.g.,
those who decided to embark into their own business thanks to the
great amount of information available on the web and the almost
zero cost of reaching customers through social media). For this
reason, AI presents a good fit for targeting this market since it
provides:
-- Major client engagement through the use of web-based
platforms by the advisors and their own clients;
-- It helps to elaborate better financial products such as
portfolio optimisation by using machine learning;
-- User experience is enhanced by providing a transparent
24/7 readily available source of information in a website;
and
-- AI increases productivity and operational efficiency
since the big majority of the tasks are performed by AI-automated
systems (e.g. portfolio allocation given the clients preferences,
automated order placement and free access to all accounting
services).
The adoption of AI is not reserved for fintech start-ups. There
is a clear adoption by major institutions in the market proving
its fundamental value to address the new market challenges.
Actually, there is a trend of big corporations incorporating
AI-based solutions in their investment and portfolio allocation
repertoire. Examples include Abrdn, which recently acquired Exo
Investing [7], a move that is intended to deliver a 24/7 digital
wealth management solution via an app and JP Morgan has also
bought another fintech firm: Nutmeg (containing approximately
£3.5 billion in assets under management for more than 140,000
clients) [8]. Perhaps, one of the most successful stories of AI
in wealth management is the case of The Next Best Action system
by Morgan Stanley, which provides their financial advisors with
machine learning algorithms to identify investments of interest
to particular pre-existing clients [9]. From this practice it has
been shown that continual engagement with the client has improved
the overall experience and motivated substantial valuable changes
in their winning strategy.
Machine learning made simple
Machine learning can be seen as a subfield of AI concerned with
the incremental learning of artificial systems from data with the
central objective of taking advantage from previous
experience.
AI/ML makes the investment process better by systematically
making an abstraction of the wealth management process and
transforming it to a pipeline of the following automated
tasks:
-- Preference profiling. Smart front-end interfaces gain insight
into the current client situation by providing an automated
questionnaire which keeps track of the answer history and then
mathematically transfers this information into a classification
process for user profiling. For example, in terms of risk
tolerance we can segment clients into cautious, balanced or
aggressive. Using transfer learning, we can also significantly
reduce the amount of time it takes to complete these
questionnaires as one of the primary characteristics of younger
generations is lower tolerance for completing forms;
-- Asset allocation. Based on previously trained models and the
client's profile, an AI-based system infers an optimal solution
for the allocation of wealth by using a predefined portfolio or
dynamically tailoring a new option for covering specific needs.
From our previous example, cautious clients are immediately
assigned a portfolio with a large majority of fixed income
securities, a small proportion in equities and a minimal
proportion of cash and equivalents. Balanced clients are
automatically assigned portfolios with an equal amount of fixed
income securities and equities. Aggressive clients take a minimal
proportion of fixed income securities and a major part of
equities, keeping a minimal amount of cash and equivalents;
and
-- Order management. Clients can opt for a fully-automated
solution that places orders in the market autonomously, or they
can impose stricter controls for order approval.
What’s next for wealth management?
My vision of the wealth management sector of the future involves
the construction and development of data-driven machine learning
solutions. Specifically, extending the notion of modern portfolio
theory by driving the investment process through the use of
automated AI-based systems for asset allocation, order management
and placement, reporting and portfolio analysis. Clients of the
future are -extremely- tech savvy, therefore they should be able
to enter a holistic application designed to meet their needs, and
at the same time being accessible from any computer, mobile
device or tablet.
Disruptive technologies should aim to revolutionise the
investment process in wealth management, providing an automated
combined solution offering:
-- High returns over a low cost. The new business model
should use a data-centric paradigm where machine learning
algorithms are totally in charge of automated asset allocation,
supplying conventional human intervention in portfolio creation
(having a proven performance over passive ETFs offering
uncorrelated portfolios to major indices reducing risk).
Web-based fund monitoring and accounting tools make clients
totally independent in any reporting or order management tasks.
-- Full transparency. Automated solutions should provide
the client with full 24/7 access to the most detailed information
regarding allocation, exposure data and portfolio risk.
-- Excellent client experience. Clients should be allowed
to gain instant access to their data taking advantage of high
levels of automation, efficiency and mobility on demand.
-- Tech-driven advice (fully or partially automated). Full
automation produces an optimal tailored portfolio given a
personalised requirements elicitation process. Furthermore,
direct communication to the client enhances the investing process
by aligning those automated recommendations to special requests
by the clients (e.g. interest in a sustainable ESG approach,
risk-aversion level modification, or a different rate of
return).
Integration is paramount. Currently, incredible efforts need to
be put in place in order to integrate several service providers
and their outputs to access a portfolio management system to keep
track of performance and exposures; a risk management system to
visualise historical risk-metrics (volatility, Sharpe ratio,
etc.) by considering benchmark indices and performing factor
analysis in order to statistically explain the nature of the
returns; an order management system to review and control any
order to be executed as well as keeping a history of previous
orders for reporting purposes; an information management system
for having direct access to all the relevant information about
their investments and a data lab to allow them to experiment with
back-testing scenarios of their strategies.
The use of AI in investment management is set to revolutionise
the industry. A disruptive holistic approach described in this
paper fills the gap between end clients and targeted performance
from their portfolios by automating the entire investment
process. Financial advisors need to augment their skills with the
advent of the new trend of technologies in order to have a
competitive advantage [10]. Operational costs can be highly
reduced by opting for a fully-automated solution.
The future is bright. I am optimistic that for these new generations of investors a well-deserved and trustworthy set of opportunities will (and can only) be offered through innovative technology.
About the author:
Dr Sonia Schulenburg is director, and investment committee member of Level E Capital SICAV plc, a Maltese multi-fund investment company dedicated to autonomous investing. She holds a PhD in Artificial Intelligence from the University of Edinburgh and a BEng in Computer Engineering (summa cum laude; 1st Class Honours) from the ITAM in Mexico City, a Professional Certificate in accounting from the University of California, San Diego and a postgraduate degree in Corporate Strategy and Finance from Edinburgh Napier University, where she graduated with distinction in both.
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Steve Dyson from Investment & Wealth
Management Consultants Ltd for the interesting conversations,
support and guidance while conducting this research paper.
References
[1] Financial Advisor Fees Comparison – All-In Costs For the Typical Financial Advisor? Kitces.com Website. July 31, 2017. Accessed on August 25, 2021. https://www.kitces.com/blog/independent-financial-advisor-fees-comparison-typical-aum-wealth-management-fee/.
[2] Investors Want More Diversified Financial Products and Customized Advice from Their Wealth Managers, Accenture Report Finds. Business Wire, A Berkshire Hathaway Company. Online Article. August 24, 2021. Visited on August 25, 2021.
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210824005209/en/Investors-Want-More-Diversified-Financial-Products-and-Customized-Advice-from-Their-Wealth-Managers-Accenture-Report-Finds.
[3] The Future of Wealth Management. The Street, Retirement Daily. Online Article. August 23, 2021. Visited on August 25, 2021. https://www.thestreet.com/retirement-daily/financial-adviser-center/the-future-of-wealth-management.
[4] Thematic Research into Wealth Management – Players Include DBS, Betterment and UBS Among Others –. Research and Markets, The World’s Largest Market Research Store – Yahoo Finance. Online Article. August 17, 2021. Visited on August 25, 2021. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/2021-thematic-research-wealth-management-093800094.html.
[5] 10 Disruptive trends in wealth management. Deloitte technical paper. Accessed on August 25, 2021. https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/us/Documents/strategy/us-cons-disruptors-in-wealth-mgmt-final.pdf.
[6] AI in wealth management: Built to scale. Accenture Capital Markets. Online Article. December 02, 2020. Visited on August 25, 2021. https://www.accenture.com/gb-en/insights/capital-markets/wealth-management-artificial-intelligence.
[7] Abrdn acquires AI solutions business Exo Investing. Investment Week. Online article. August 10, 2021. Visited on August 25, 2021. https://www.investmentweek.co.uk/news/4035619/abrdn-acquires-ai-solutions-business-exo-investing.
[8] JP Morgan buys Nutmeg. Fund Europe. Online article. Accessed on June 23, 2021. https://www.funds-europe.com/news/jp-morgan-buys-nutmeg.
[9] The Pursuit of AI-Driven Wealth Management. MIT Sloan Management Review. Online Article. July 07, 2021. Visited on August 25, 2021. https://sloanreview.mit.edu/article/the-pursuit-of-ai-driven-wealth-management/.
[10] AI won’t replace investment managers but it could improve
returns. World Economic Forum. Online Article. May 24, 2021.
Visited on August 25, 2021.
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2021/05/ai-wont-displace-investment-managers-but-it-could-improve-returns/