Market Research
Post-Brexit Sterling Slide Boosted UK Portfolios - Natixis Global Asset Management Data

The Paris-headquartered firm's latest report found that certain UK portfolios "significantly benefitted" from the plummeting pound in 2016.
UK portfolios with significant non-sterling assets were boosted
by a currency depression that followed the UK's vote to leave the
European Union last summer, with average
performance exceeding 13 per cent in 2016, according to new
data from Natixis
Global Asset Management (NGAM).
NGAM's Global Portfolio Barometer offers insights into
model portfolios and asset allocation decisions across the world.
It is based on a review of 564 “moderate risk” or “balanced”
model portfolios between July and December of 2016.
The firm's findings showed that UK portfolios outperformed US
equivalents, which came second, boasting average returns of
around 8.2 per cent.
According to NGAM, the variation in 2016 returns can be explained
by the difference in return contributions from exposure to
equities. In the UK, equity performance contributions were 11 per
cent out of the total 13.5 per cent, and of that, 9 per cent was
overseas equity. In comparison, equities were just 0.8 per cent
out of the 3 per cent average returns in Luxembourg. Strong
equity markets also propelled performance in the US and the
Netherlands, NGAM said.
Excluding the UK, returns from equities were found to be in the
5-8 per cent region, with fixed income in the 4-5 per cent range
and allocation funds 3-5 per cent.
The most significant difference in asset class returns was from
alternative strategies, which ranged from -2.1 per cent for
Luxumbourg-based advisors to 3.9 per cent in the UK. Although the
returns were relatively modest, they underline advisors' tendency
to allocate to low-risk, low-return alternative strategies as a
replacement for fixed income, NGAM said.
The FTSE 100 was the best performing major equity index last
year, up 14.4 per cent. The S&P 500 also performed well, up
9.5 per cent, while the Euro Stoxx 50 was flat with a performance
of just 0.7 per cent.
“A substantial part of the explanation is currency risk which is
no surprise since currency moves in 2016 were the highest since
2008 and had a large impact on the surveyed portfolios,” said
Matthew Riley, head of research within NGAM's portfolio research
and consulting group.
He continued: “For example, a UK investor with unhedged US equity
exposure would have gained an extra 19 per cent return in 2016
due to the depreciation of the pound versus the dollar. For
eurozone equities, this would have been around 16 per cent, and
for Japanese equities this would have been 23 per cent. Currency
impact was also seen in allocation funds, emerging markets debt
and high-yield debt funds, which are often not hedged by
advisors.”