Surveys
Investors' Confidence Rose In April; North America Sentiment Remains Under Pressure
While the US banking system steadied in April after the traumas of March, North American investor sentiment remains under a cloud. Overall, however, global confidence rose in April, a regular report from State Street said.
State Street’s monthly barometer of how confident investors are
about markets – based on their actual buying and selling activity
– showed that their mood brightened in April. The data appeared
to suggest that the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank in the US and
Credit Suisse’s takeover by UBS in March had not significantly
hurt sentiment.
The Global Investor Confidence Index increased to 83.5, up 2.2
points from March’s revised reading of 81.3. Investor confidence
was mixed across regions, with the North American ICI rising 1.6
points to 75.5, while the European ICI fell 6.4 points to 111.2
and the Asian ICI dropped 2.6 points to 89.3, State Street said.
The index measures investor confidence or risk appetite
quantitatively by analyzing buying and selling patterns of
institutional investors. The index assigns a precise meaning to
changes in investor risk appetite: the greater the percentage
allocation to equities, the higher risk appetite or confidence. A
reading of 100 is neutral; it is the level at which investors are
neither increasing nor decreasing their long-term allocations to
risky assets.
“While the North America ICI posted a marginal 1.6 point increase
to 75.5, it maintained the weakest regional reading as investors
continue to navigate through banking stress and Fed tightening.
In contrast, despite a drop in April, the 112.2 ICI reading for
Europe remained at near two-year highs, with this region
signaling the strongest level of risk taking. Marvin Loh, senior
global macro strategist at State Street Global Markets, said.
“The April numbers demonstrate a degree of comfort that
US bank depositor stress will remain contained and not
contribute to broader systemic risk. Nonetheless, sentiment in
Asia slipped again, falling 2.6 to 89.3 on fading optimism of
widespread gains from the reopening of the Chinese economy.”