Surveys
Investor Sentiment Towards Emerging Markets Up Year-On-Year – Columbia Threadneedle Data

Columbia Threadneedle Investments has released the results of a new survey that found investor sentiment has risen year-on-year across the board.
Investors hold improved sentiment towards emerging markets
compared to a year ago, according to the Columbia
Threadneedle Investments Emerging Market Investor Sentiment
survey.
The emerging markets investor sentiment score was calculated
based on answers to the question: “Over the next 12 months, what
is your outlook for emerging market equities?”, with a neutral
outlook scoring 500 points and a positive outlook scoring 1000
points. A negative outlook scored 0 points. The survey was
conducted between 1 December 2016 and 10 January 2017 on 75
financial advisors and investment professionals, more than 66 per
cent of whom managed more than $100 million in assets. Of those
questioned, 45 per cent were registered investment advisors, and
16 per cent worked for independent firms.
While sentiment towards emerging markets investing slipped 9 per
cent from the second quarter of 2016, it was up 27 per cent from
the end of 2015. At the end of 2016, the survey’s investor
sentiment score weighed in at 627, an indication that investors
generally held a neutral outlook towards emerging markets for the
next 12 months.
The survey also found that while emerging markets were up 10.8
per cent in 2016, they underperformed the US following the
aftermath of the presidential election. This was reflected in the
sentiment score at the end of 2016, which was slightly down from
mid-2016.
Findings show that 41 per cent of respondents have between 1
and 5 per cent allocated to emerging markets and some 32 per
cent have between 5 and 10 per cent allocated. The survey also
found that 85 per cent of respondents had their current
allocation to emerging markets “about the same or higher than 12
months ago”. In contrast, only 15 per cent said their allocation
was lower than 12 months ago, compared with 37 per cent of
respondents at the end of 2015.
The outlook for emerging market equities over the next 12
months appeared promising, with 45 per cent of respondents citing
“positive” as their answer, the most common opinion, a
change from the end of 2015 when the index’s positive
quotient was the least common answer. Just under two-thirds of
respondents expected to maintain their emerging markets
allocation over the next 12 months and only 28 per cent said they
expect to increase it, a stark contrast to mid-2016, when 46 per
cent of respondents said they expected to increase their
allocation.