Strategy
Investment Managers React To UK’s Autumn Statement
After UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt presented his Autumn Statement to parliament this week, designed to boost growth and cut UK taxes, wealth managers discuss the impact.
With the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) downgrading its economic forecast, and with a general election due in 2024, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt has announced a series of tax cuts, pension reforms and moves to boost business investment, in the Autumn Statement that included 110 measures to promote growth.
According to the OBR, the economy is now expected to grow by 0.6 per cent this year and 0.7 per cent in 2024, doubling to 1.4 per cent in 2025. Inflation is predicted to reach 2.8 per cent by the end of next year and 2 per cent by 2025.
In the Autumn Statement, Hunt maintained the pension triple lock in full, which means that the state pension will rise by 8.5 per cent next April. The government also plans to launch a consultation on ‘pot for life’ reforms which would give workers the right to nominate the pension scheme they want their employer to pay contributions into.
In addition, Hunt proposed cutting employees national insurance contributions from 12 to 10 per cent from January and abolishing Class 2 national insurance for the self-employed. A permanent tax break for businesses that allows them to save corporation tax by investing was also included in the Statement.
Moreover, the government has announced that it is making some changes to individual savings accounts (ISAs). Starting from April next year, savers can have more than one of the same type of ISA. They can also transfer part of their savings between different providers during the year, without needing to reapply for an existing dormant account.
Additionally, Hunt has expanded the types of investments people can make. Innovative finance ISAs can now include long-term asset funds and open-ended property funds with extended notice periods. There is also a possibility that "certain fractional shares" will be eligible for ISA investment, pending further discussions on how to implement this policy. Meanwhile, the limits for different types of ISAs remain the same (£20,000 ($25,000) for cash and stocks and shares ISAs, £9,000 for a junior ISA, and £4,000 for the lifetime ISA).
However, despite pressure to cut or even remove the controversial inheritance tax (IHT), this was not included in the package.
Here are reactions from wealth managers to the Autumn Statement.
Pension triple lock
Sian Steele, head of tax at professional services and
wealth management firm Evelyn Partners
“This will be very welcome to those receiving, or about to
receive, the state pension at a time of rising living costs. The
8.5 per cent hike now nailed on for April means that the state
pension will cost the Treasury £2 billion more in 2024/25 than
the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast at the Spring
Budget and that comes hot on the heels of this April’s
bumper 10.1 per cent state pension hike, which added £11 billion
to Government spending in 2023–24.
“From a tax point of view, this increase for the state pension
takes it a step closer to the frozen annual personal income tax
allowance, which means that a retiree will not need a great deal
of private income in retirement – whether that is from a personal
pension, investments or property – before they pay tax at
the basic rate of 20 per cent. The new flat rate
annual state pension of £11,501 in the 2024/25 tax year, is just
£1,069 short of the £12,570 tax-exempt allowance as it stands in
2023/24.”
Pot for Life
Idris Shaffiq, chartered financial planner at atomos’s
Marlow office
“I can see the benefits of this for those clients who are
actively advised, namely, through greater control over the
investment solution and also a simplification of the masses of
pension pots individuals accumulate in their working lives.
However, there is a huge advice gap and, for those individuals
who are not advised, this could lead to sub optimal outcomes as
workplace schemes are usually low cost and individuals with no
advice will struggle to navigate the numerous pension providers
out there.”
Richard Parkin, head of retirement at BNY Mellon
Investment Management
“We welcome the Chancellor’s announcement to look at how we
address the issue of small pots that has resulted from automatic
enrolment, and to give individuals more choice over their pension
provider. In principle, offering consumers a choice of their
workplace pension provider and the chance for continuity seems
sensible and provides the opportunity to have a clearer picture
for retirement planning. However, we must recognise that many
consumers are often ill equipped to make a choice of provider and
there is a risk that they choose their pension provider based on
the quality of marketing rather than the quality of the product.”
Alastair Black, head of savings policy at
abrdn
“We welcome the government looking to consult on the legal right
for employees to choose where their pension contributions should
be paid. This should increase engagement and choice. It is
important that the choice is genuine and employees will be able
to make full use of this flexibility to consolidate their
workplace pension savings with other long-term savings to support
an efficient advice model.That said, the challenges in
introducing this are likely to be substantial and risk creating
extra work for all employers, including advice firms. If we
go down this route, it is critical that the government consult on
this to avoid increasing the burden on employers or raising costs
of the pensions industry.”
Lifetime allowance
Faye Church, senior chartered financial planner, Investec
Wealth & Investment
"Given the complex nature of pension rules, the delay of the
removal of the Lifetime Allowance and beneficiary’s drawdown is
not surprising. These rules are tricky to navigate at the best of
times without looking at how this would work in practice and any
decisions will continue to be delayed until April 2025. Care must
be taken when making decisions that may affect anyone’s position
in relation to the Lifetime Allowance and we would urge our
clients to seek advice from their financial planner. We hope
that April 2025 will bring some clarity to the rules, especially
for those who can’t delay making decisions on taking
benefits."
National Insurance reduction
Les Cameron, head of technical at M&G
Wealth
“The reduction in National Insurance for both the self-employed
and employed will be a welcome relief for many. Those who don't
need the boost to their income might consider increasing their
pension contributions or other savings to benefit them in the
future. Importantly it shouldn't affect their state pension
entitlement. The National Insurance cut will be welcomed by all
employees earning over £12,570 per annum. It could have a
knock-on effect for salary sacrifice arrangements though, as any
National Insurance savings made by the employer will be lower
and pension contributions will decrease."
Faye Church, senior chartered financial planner, Investec
Wealth & Investment
"A cut in National Insurance from 12 per cent to 10 per cent will
benefit lower and middle earners giving a much needed boost to
take home pay. The current system takes 12 per cent of annual
earnings between £12,570 and £50,270, so someone earning an
average salary of £35,000 would save £350 a year. For someone
earning £80,000 a year, they stand to save £754 a year. Help for
the self-employed by abolishing Class 2 National Insurance
Contributions will save £192 per year, and a reduction in Class 4
National Insurance Contributions from 9 per cent to 8 per
cent will save around two million self-employed £350 from April
2024."
St James’s Place head of economic research Hetal
Mehta
“The Chancellor had a final flourish in the form of the National
Insurance tax cuts, effective from January. He has used up all
the fiscal headroom made available from higher tax receipts – the
election campaigning has surely begun. The OBR’s estimates of
potential growth (at 1.6 per cent) continue to be much stronger
than those of the Bank of England and there is a risk that
growth disappointment will impair the public finances
materially. With 2024 GDP growth set to be much weaker than
initially forecast and interest rates still high – the risk of
downside surprises is high – the scope for any more giveaways in
the coming year now seems limited.”
ISAs
Les Cameron, head of technical at M&G
Wealth
"Confirmation of multiple subscriptions and partial transfers in
the Autumn Statement document will be welcomed by ISA savers. It
will improve flexibility of this popular tax wrapper and could be
an important consideration for financial advisors who may wish to
help clients make use of these new easements."
Founder and CEO of My Community Finance, Tobias
Gruber
“For savers who have grappled with rising inflation this year,
it’s a real shame that the government has not increased the
ISA limit. However, from April next year, individuals will have
the flexibility to subscribe to multiple ISAs of the same type,
providing a tailored approach to their savings strategy.
Additionally, the removal of the requirement to reapply for
dormant accounts streamlines the process, ensuring that savers
can effortlessly manage their existing accounts. To make the
most of these changes, savers should proactively explore
different savings options to find the best deals suited to their
needs. Shopping around for competitive interest rates and
exploring various savings options can maximise the benefits of
their ISA limit.”
Tarun Nagpal, CEO at S64
“The inclusion of long-term asset funds (LTAFs) within the scope
of Innovative Finance ISAs from April 2024, is another potential
milestone in the widening of retail access to private markets.
The changes will empower individuals to have the ability to
invest for the long term and gain access to key diversifying and
return-generating private assets as part of their overall
portfolio allocation. This is the latest in a number of upcoming
regulatory changes across Europe driving forward the
democratisation of the alternatives industry, allowing private
investors to also participate in the transition to a more
sustainable economy.”
Inheritance Tax (IHT)
Tom Minnikin, partner at Forbes Dawson
“Jeremy Hunt has caved to the pressure, but this could
potentially just be a delaying tactic. It would have been popular
with many middle-income earners, who have been dragged into the
inheritance tax net as a result of various allowances and
thresholds being frozen. However, the decision not to press ahead
with cuts to inheritance tax, which were widely mooted in the
run-up to today’s statement, are probably more a reflection of
the potential bad press that would have come from cutting a tax
that benefits more wealthy voters during a cost-of-living crisis.
Hunt will undoubtedly face calls from the opposition benches to
‘show his cards’ regarding whether this represents a change in
policy, or simply a postponement until the March Budget. With an
election expected next year, a cut in inheritance tax could be
popular with some voters. However, there is a risk that it could
alienate others – in key battlegrounds such as the red wall – who
could see this as the Conservative Party favouring the rich.”
Rachael Griffin, tax and financial planning expert at
Quilter
“There was a missed opportunity in addressing the complexities
and inequities of the IHT system, notably the Residence Nil Rate
Band (RNRB). The RNRB, while well-intentioned, is marked by its
complexity and often excludes a significant demographic,
particularly the rising number of childless elderly. As we look
towards an ageing population with increasing childlessness, the
RNRB's exclusionary nature becomes increasingly problematic. A
more equitable and simplified IHT system involving raising the
nil rate band to £500,000 would not only be fairer but more
reflective of the changing demographics and societal structures
of this country.”
VCT and EIS sunset clauses extended to April 2035
Andrew Dixon, head of wealth planning at SG Kleinwort
Hambros
“As a passionate supporter of the venture space in the UK, it is
pleasing to see the government focusing on innovation and,
from a personal finance perspective, extending the sunset clause
on Venture Capital Trusts and Enterprise Investment Schemes.”
Nicholas Hyett, investment manager at Wealth
Club
“The announcement that the government is extending the VCT and
EIS sunset clauses out to 2035 is good news for two schemes that
have supported billions of pounds' worth of investment into UK
startups. It removes uncertainty that has been lingering over the
sector for some time, potentially putting off new entrants and
new investors, and secures a crucial source of funding for the
UK’s blossoming startup scene. It is a shame that the sunset
clause hasn’t been abolished altogether – which would have
avoided a repeat of the current uncertainty in a decade’s time –
but with the Labour Party also voicing support or the schemes the
extension is welcome nonetheless.”
Rupert West, managing director at Puma Private
Equity
“We are delighted that in today’s [yesterday's] Autumn Statement,
the Chancellor has confirmed that the Venture Capital Trust
sunset clause has been extended to 2035. The VCT scheme
provides crucial funding to British scale-up, high potential
businesses and this news will provide much needed clarity both
for those companies looking to grow and for investors considering
investing this tax year.
"There continues to be huge demand for VCT investing. In the
2022/23 tax year, VCT fundraising surpassed the £1 billion
milestone for the second time (£1.08 billion, according to the
Association of Investment Companies). The scale-up companies
that the scheme supports are the lifeblood of the UK economy and
the VCT scheme enables them to grow, innovate and create vital
employment opportunities. Today’s announcement means that
investors can continue to use VCTs with confidence, and gain
exposure to the growth of these innovative companies.”
Business and entrepreneurs
Marc Wright, head of entrepreneurs, Private Office,
Investec Wealth & Investment (UK)
“The Chancellor’s £20 billion tax relief/investment in business
across the country is very welcome indeed and demonstrates that
the government is focused on Backing British Business. The
Chancellor said last week that he wanted to deliver policies to
promote growth and he has delivered on that. Entrepreneurs
and business owners have been under considerable pressure over
the past three years and SMEs have seen costs rising, and retail
consumption falling, leading to a steep growth in insolvencies.
The significant jump in corporation tax this year has taken the
UK from very competitive versus OECD countries to ‘middle of the
road’, and we would have liked to see a much more competitive
landscape to do business in the UK by cutting corporation tax for
all business.
“Even though Jeremy Hunt did not amend corporation tax, we are very happy about the spread of directed measures supporting businesses such as reducing rates, improving access to apprentices, and assisting the self-employed. The permanent implementation of full expensing of investment is very welcome indeed and should promote growth and productivity into 2024 and beyond.”
Tracey Neuman, private client executive at
Ocorian
“What is clear from the Autumn Statement is the UK government’s
desire to increase economic growth, largely via business
investment. The main announcement was to make full expensing
permanent for business. When initially introduced it was only
going to be available for three years. Very broadly, this allows
a business to claim 100 per cent first-year allowance for
expenditure on plant and machinery. There is also a 50 per
cent first-year allowance for certain other categories of
expenditure. This, combined with the UK corporation tax rates,
gives UK companies one of the lowest effective rates of tax in
Europe and, arguably, makes the UK a very attractive jurisdiction
in which to establish and run a business.”
Research and development (R&D) tax reliefs reform
Tom Minnikin, partner at Forbes Dawson
“It is a step in the right direction, but the government should
focus attention on improving the operation of the scheme itself.
The announcement of increased relief for loss making companies is
good news. However, many SMEs report ‘nightmares’ in getting HMRC
to process their claims. Our own experience is that claims
that were once being processed within four to six weeks are
taking four to six months. For many small startups,
particularly in the tech sector, the availability of R&D tax
credits is a lifeline for getting their business off the
ground. It is no good increasing the incentives if
businesses can’t access the cash quickly.”
Mark Littlewood, director general at free market think
tank the Institute of Economic Affairs
“The Autumn statement is a step in the right direction towards
lower taxes and economic growth, but not a leap. The
introduction of permanent full expensing will encourage
businesses to invest in buildings, structures and equipment. The
110 supply side reforms, encompassing benefits, financial
services and planning, will help boost growth. Cuts to National
Insurance return a substantial sum to the pockets of the average
worker. Nonetheless, amidst the rhetoric about tax reductions,
this government is presiding over one of the heaviest tax burdens
in the past seven decades. The frozen income tax thresholds
amount to a stealth tax increase of around £40 billion annually
by some estimates. The Chancellor is essentially taking with one
hand and giving back with another.
“There was also shockingly little about reducing government spending. The splashing of taxpayer cash for frivolous purposes, such as the Hay Festival, is hardly fiscally responsible. The rapid increase in the minimum wage risks businesses cutting jobs and hours of some of the most vulnerable workers, including those with fewer skills and the young. There is far more work to be done to reduce the tax burden, decrease spending, cut red tape, and reform public services."