WM Market Reports
Global Wealth Grows; Offshore Centres' Demise Is Exaggerated - BCG Study
The world's wealthy got richer last year as markets improved, while Asia (ex-Japan) overtook Europe in the wealth stakes. Switzerland retained the crown as global offshore centre.
The middle of the year typically sees the arrival of reports on
the global wealth management sector, and Boston Consulting Group
is one of the first to hit the airwaves. It reports that global
private financial wealth rose by almost 12 per cent year to $164
trillion last year, with 73 per cent of that growth stemming from
rising markets and the remainder coming from newly created
assets.
In its 15th annual study of the global wealth industry, BCG
examined how Asia-Pacific is due to overtake North America as the
world’s richest region in 2016, as well exploring the principal
drivers of future profitability. The report is called Global
Wealth 2015: Winning The Growth Game.
“Potentially disruptive forces are everywhere,” Brent Beardsley,
a BCG senior partner and a co-author of the report, said. “The
tightening regulatory climate, a more complex investing
environment, highly demanding clients, technological evolution,
and other trends are straining traditional models. As the pace
and magnitude of change intensifies, wealth managers need to
think more strategically,” he continued.
Among the litany of statistics in the report, BCG said that for
the first time, Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan) overtook Europe
(both West and Eastern Europe) to become the world’s
second-richest region, at $47 trillion of assets.
With a projected $57 trillion in 2016, Asia-Pacific (excluding
Japan) is expected to surpass North America (a projected $56
trillion) as the world’s wealthiest region, and is further
projected to hold one-third of global wealth in 2019. Over the
next five years, total private wealth globally is projected to
post a compound annual growth rate of 6 per cent to reach an
estimated $222 trillion in 2019, it said.
Wealth Distribution
The report’s findings also chime with other observations of how a
rising class of millionaires and "ultra millionaires" continues
to prosper. The total number of millionaire households globally
(those with more than $1 million in private wealth) reached 17
million in 2014, up from 15 million in 2013. The increase was
driven primarily by markets, both in developed and emerging
sectors. Millionaire households held 41 per cent of global
private wealth in 2014, up from 40 per cent a year earlier, and
are projected to hold 46 per cent in 2019.
The US still had the highest number of millionaire households in
2014 (7 million), followed by China (4 million). Private wealth
held by ultra-high net worth households (those with
above $100 million) grew by 11 per cent in 2014.
Offshore demise is greatly exaggerated
The study also suggests that in spite of the intense scrutiny
being placed on offshore domiciles such as Switzerland and the
Cayman Islands, “there is still potential for profits and future
growth for offshore players that stay ahead of the curve
strategically.”
“Clients are still willing to pay a premium for benefits such as
political and financial stability, regional diversification,
high-quality service, discretion, and broad expertise across
products and asset classes,” Anna Zakrzewski, a BCG partner and a
co-author of the report, said. “Top offshore performers are
transforming their businesses to make them viable for the
future,” she added.
Switzerland remained the leading offshore booking centre in 2014,
with $2.4 trillion in wealth from abroad. Switzerland accounts
for 25 per cent of total offshore assets globally.
Globally, private wealth booked in offshore centres grew by 7 per
cent in 2014 (compared with 12 per cent for onshore wealth) to
reach $10 trillion. The overall $0.6 trillion rise was driven
mainly by asset flows originating in Asia-Pacific ($0.3 trillion,
excluding Japan), Eastern Europe ($0.2 trillion), and Latin
America ($0.1 trillion). The 2014 growth rate for offshore wealth
was in line with the 7 per cent rise posted in 2013, but with
increased amounts of offshore wealth flowing back onshore,
particularly in the Old World. As a result, the global share of
offshore wealth declined slightly from 6.1 per cent in 2013 to
5.8 per cent in 2014.
Looking ahead, offshore wealth is projected to grow at a compound
annual growth rate of 5 per cent through 2019 to reach an
estimated $12 trillion, compared with a projected CAGR for
onshore wealth of 6 per cent.
In 2014, the Caribbean and Panama remained the preferred
destinations for wealth originating in North America, with 54 per
cent of offshore wealth placed there. The UK (15 per cent) and
the Channel Islands and Dublin (15 percent) were also common
destinations.
Proximity remained a key driver for offshore wealth originating
in Western Europe, with most offshore assets booked in
Switzerland (35 per cent on average), the Channel Islands and
Dublin (21 per cent), Luxembourg (14 per cent), and the UK (5 per
cent). A similar dynamic was observed in Eastern Europe, with
offshore wealth booked in Switzerland (34 per cent), the UK (17
per cent), the Channel Islands and Dublin (16 per cent), and
Luxembourg (11 per cent). The Caribbean and Panama were also
common destinations (7 per cent combined).
As for offshore wealth originating in Asia-Pacific (excluding
Japan), Singapore (31 per cent) and Hong Kong (15 per cent)
remained the top destinations.
Investment in the business
The report says that it is critical for wealth managers to
determine where they should be investing for the growth of their
companies. Across all regions, BCG client work and research have
revealed certain patterns. For example, onshore businesses in
North America and Eastern Europe and offshore players in
Switzerland plan the highest allocation of resources (71 per
cent, 63 per cent, and 62 per cent of their respective investment
budgets) to make the most of existing businesses as opposed to
expanding into new areas.
All other regions are allocating slightly more than half of their
resources to optimising existing business. The three highest
priorities for enhancing existing businesses are improving sales
force effectiveness (17 per cent of total investment resources),
enhancing digital interfaces (14 per cent), and increasing
collaboration with other business units (10 per cent).