Market Research
Asia Pac Economies To Lead In 2010, Says Fidelity
Asia Pacific economies are expected to stay on top of the
equities game in 2010, with China and China-related themes likely
to fuel growth,
Fidelity International said in a statement yesterday.
“The structural story in Asia remains intact and the region is in
a fortunate position whereby government, corporate and personal
balance sheets are healthy which is very different story to many
Western economies,” said FI investment director for Asia Pacific
Maria Abbonizio. She added, however, that while Asian markets
are highly attractive, much of the region's confidence will still
anchor on the speed of recovery in the West.
Ms Abbonizio summarised the key drivers of Asian growth into four
elements: emerging industries, natural resources wealth, the
growing consumer class, and the low cost of manufacturing.
Australia and Indonesia have already begun forging joint ventures
with international firms for natural resources projects, while
China is proving to be a formidable newcomer to the airline
manufacturing industry.
A recent report by the
Asian Development Bank has forecast China's economic growth
to be at 8.2 per cent this year, from the earlier estimate of 7
per cent, with a further prediction of an 8.9 per cent growth
rate in 2010. Fidelity believes that majority of the activity on
Asian soil will be fuelled by China-related investments.
“In 2010, I believe that Asian equity markets should continue to
do well. Economic fundamentals remain strong, there continues to
be a healthy population growth and the trend towards urbanisation
and industrialisation will require infrastructure development in
urban and rural areas,” said
Allan Liu, Fidelity's portfolio manager for the South East
Asia fund, in the same statement.
“The key opportunities to watch out for are in sectors benefiting
from the healthy growth in domestic demand and a global economic
recovery," he added.
Fidelity managers generally expect 2010 to be a moderately bumpy
ride for Asian financials, but changes in the region's
consumption activity, particularly with the aggressive entry of
foreign investment, will likely lead to added confidence.
The global financial crisis has caused a sharp drop in majority
of markets, but Asia has proven itself to be largely immune and
very quick to recover. With domestic demand growing at a healthy
rate and exports continuing to improve, coupled with a strong
influx of investment, a multiple-year recovery is only
expected.